Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273ca05dd1713fcb5fbf2a69b1dbbc1dda25396dd26c42ec820d5a9f659a2702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81f9…7dd4backed Yes | 54c | 43,623$23,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,397.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…101ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 51c | 6,848$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 46c | 6,561$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.17 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed No | 47c | 3,175$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 46c | 2,742$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 53c | 2,011$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 47c | 1,966$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.28 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed No | 44c | 1,190$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 43c | 1,131$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 47c | 1,040$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…f3ffbacked Yes | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 33c | 959.17$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 51c | 915.44$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 55c | 818.09$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 44c | 739.97$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…3fcfbacked Yes | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 54c | 654.74$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.82 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…9282backed No | 65c | 584$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…446abacked Yes | 53c | 567.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked No | 60c | 567.5$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…341dbacked Yes | 54c | 557.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 51c | 550.28$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 52c | 539.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d85cbacked Yes | 56c | 518$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…cf53backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 47c | 499.94$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 55c | 499.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 45c | 497.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 52c | 477.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 50c | 477.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 430.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked No | 49c | 409.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked No | 49c | 404.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Yes | 55c | 403.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 45c | 400$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked No | 44c | 399.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 53c | 385.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…cfd1backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 49c | 355.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 48c | 345$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…007dbacked Yes | 45c | 342.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 54c | 334.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 57c | 312.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 9c | 310.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked No | 48c | 309.31$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 52c | 295.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed No | 43c | 288.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 46c | 279.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed No | 46c | 268.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…7e61backed Yes | 58c | 257.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 54c | 257.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…0e4fbacked Yes | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 53c | 249.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 53c | 242.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 52c | 237.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 47c | 228.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…b5ddbacked No | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 53c | 207.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 50c | 201.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…baf2backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bee…63f2backed No | 51c | 192.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 52c | 191.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 53c | 191.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 58c | 191.29$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…9052backed Yes | 52c | 190.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…371ebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…1e30backed Yes | 52c | 188.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895b…ef4dbacked Yes | 55c | 186.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce4…e4cfbacked Yes | 54c | 185.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Yes | 55c | 183.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 46c | 178.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 46c | 175.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 47c | 174.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 169$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…11bebacked Yes | 54c | 165.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 51c | 163.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…c706backed Yes | 54c | 160.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…19cdbacked Yes | 52c | 158.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 52c | 151.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 51c | 139.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…5983backed No | 73c | 136.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 49c | 123.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 58c | 121$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…0061backed No | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 53c | 112.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…1c5bbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?this page
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Ray Robson win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Samuel Sevian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Vidit Gujrathi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.