Chess · resolved market
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97307b3a250857642a19a8794d764c326ab28e756e4c3deec6860dbe015149f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 12c | 4,261$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.49 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 42c | 2,900$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed Yes | 43c | 2,856$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 3c | 2,576$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.93 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,379$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.94 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 2,362$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 35c | 2,309$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.97 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 46c | 2,109$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.63 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 55c | 2,064$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,621$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 18c | 1,589$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 5c | 1,553$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.57 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed No | 41c | 1,415$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked Yes | 44c | 1,141$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…9282backed Yes | 41c | 1,131$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 5c | 881.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.12 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…3199backed Yes | 43c | 772.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 40c | 766.52$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.91 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 44c | 737.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.38 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 18c | 718$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.53 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…f2c2backed Yes | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Yes | 19c | 589.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 10c | 573$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +294.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked No | 80c | 539.24$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 36c | 520$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 4c | 507.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.08 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed Yes | 15c | 482.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Yes | 13c | 471.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +384.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 65c | 470.36$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1f07backed No | 70c | 461.68$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 43c | 439$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…11bebacked Yes | 5c | 406.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 42c | 389.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 42c | 350$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 39c | 319.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…64dfbacked No | 58c | 317.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…7afbbacked Yes | 5c | 306.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 12c | 282$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Yes | 63c | 266.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 25c | 241.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…4962backed Yes | 40c | 226$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…5fd5backed Yes | 70c | 222.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed Yes | 21c | 221$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 58c | 212$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 80c | 208.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 11c | 199.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…3f3fbacked No | 60c | 173$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…261ebacked Yes | 40c | 164$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…f92fbacked No | 60c | 161$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…bea4backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…d651backed Yes | 44c | 136.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Yes | 18c | 119.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 10c | 113.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +228.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d03…e8f7backed Yes | 40c | 94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 33c | 93.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed Yes | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Yes | 42c | 86.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…549ebacked Yes | 43c | 81.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Yes | 42c | 73.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 22c | 67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…b4dbbacked Yes | 17c | 65.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…bab2backed Yes | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…e959backed Yes | 20c | 60.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…4c3abacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…0572backed Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…7e7ebacked No | 19c | 56.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…e2f8backed Yes | 44c | 50.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…efcebacked Yes | 24c | 46.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 44c | 45.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8d…ffbcbacked No | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de3…0d89backed No | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…58c2backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…0e3cbacked No | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…6eadbacked Yes | 47c | 29.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…4589backed Yes | 42c | 28.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…acdbbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…1522backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…0f43backed No | 60c | 16.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…388fbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?this page
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Ray Robson win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Samuel Sevian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Vidit Gujrathi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.