AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a28f65b1bce59346b567907974eb46549a997464168b3b27cc2bbcf4d4e2d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bd7…bd45backed Yes | 40c | 33,875$13,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…ae72backed No | 60c | 33,875$20,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 31c | 24,864$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,184.1 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 68c | 22,417$15,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 24c | 11,627$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 62c | 5,433$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 23c | 4,654$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.71 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 38c | 4,212$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.85 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…7defbacked Yes | 39c | 3,455$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked Yes | 79c | 3,239$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…e606backed Yes | 46c | 3,069$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,439$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…1fbabacked Yes | 73c | 1,951$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 19c | 1,823$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 50c | 1,782$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,478$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 1,425$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.74 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…074fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 12c | 1,241$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,208$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.74 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…cf53backed No | 67c | 1,200$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed No | 21c | 1,122$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 21c | 1,100$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…1884backed Yes | 47c | 1,050$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…bc5bbacked No | 33c | 1,046$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…2efcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,025$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +412.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 3c | 999.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 51c | 974.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 17c | 959.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c4…e06fbacked Yes | 69c | 950.99$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 5c | 913.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 891.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 838.22$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 830.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed Yes | 63c | 796.22$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 57c | 794.82$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked Yes | 38c | 766.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 55c | 760.76$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 28c | 750.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 693.93$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.32 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 670.69$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc608…a4eebacked Yes | 51c | 670$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…49fdbacked Yes | 45c | 667.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 47c | 665.32$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cfa8backed Yes | 77c | 657.1$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 43c | 650$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…8e6cbacked Yes | 61c | 648.83$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 636.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.61 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…03a0backed Yes | 31c | 636$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…2bdcbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked Yes | 64c | 619.91$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 20c | 599.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…779bbacked Yes | 29c | 546.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 59c | 542.8$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…7b5abacked Yes | 51c | 538.43$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915f…1294backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked Yes | 28c | 500.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e57abacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 57c | 491.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 42c | 485.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…80f0backed No | 59c | 480$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 71c | 458.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 28c | 455.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…eababacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 24c | 453.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 46c | 453.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…b671backed Yes | 33c | 453.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…b152backed Yes | 37c | 446.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…589cbacked Yes | 22c | 445$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…6b71backed Yes | 43c | 440$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…1327backed Yes | 23c | 414.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +343.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…df4ebacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 43c | 399.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…46e2backed Yes | 32c | 388.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 41c | 381.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 46c | 367.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 14c | 360.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +328.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 31c | 351.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…2433backed Yes | 47c | 346.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…4c8abacked Yes | 46c | 344.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…ea5dbacked Yes | 58c | 342.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…94cebacked No | 8c | 333.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…1347backed Yes | 77c | 330.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…bcf3backed Yes | 24c | 326.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…f96fbacked Yes | 49c | 322.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Yes | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…a4edbacked Yes | 27c | 301.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 54c | 300.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…57f5backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
- Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.