NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e30eaff9789c9e188f30ffcc7b181b56dc7589026c5e0ad6cc9679c94f979b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Grizzlies, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Grizzlies | 38c | 32,008$12,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,272.29 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Grizzlies | 4c | 26,183$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.49 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 14,800$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 74c | 14,413$10,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.25 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…d6c0backed Grizzlies | 27c | 12,149$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Lakers | 76c | 10,934$8,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.09 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 2c | 9,457$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 35c | 8,685$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.09 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 68c | 7,309$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Grizzlies | 2c | 5,285$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 72c | 5,098$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.45 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lakers | 78c | 5,000$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Lakers | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Grizzlies | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Grizzlies | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Grizzlies | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Grizzlies | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Lakers | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,466$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.18 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Grizzlies | 31c | 4,199$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lakers | 78c | 4,198$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.8 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Lakers | 70c | 3,755$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.24 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Lakers | 71c | 3,575$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Lakers | 70c | 3,439$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.84 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 2,800$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,490$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,168$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.96 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Lakers | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 2,064$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,650$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,580$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 1,565$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 1,500$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lakers | 75c | 1,432$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,407$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…1d11backed Lakers | 71c | 1,405$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Lakers | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,371$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.37 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 22c | 1,300$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Lakers | 71c | 1,225$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,225$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,010$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers | 73c | 997.55$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 934.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 920$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Grizzlies | 28c | 885.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…995dbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 799.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Lakers | 64c | 777.18$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 775.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed Grizzlies | 30c | 724$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Lakers | 69c | 723.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Grizzlies | 18c | 693.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 647.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Grizzlies | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Grizzlies | 22c | 604.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f4f4backed Lakers | 72c | 594.06$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Grizzlies | 29c | 594.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Lakers | 69c | 583.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Grizzlies | 20c | 577.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 509.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Grizzlies | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Lakers | 71c | 499.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 74c | 469.97$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Lakers | 68c | 441$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed Grizzlies | 29c | 440$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Grizzlies | 14c | 428.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Lakers | 50c | 399$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Grizzlies | 27c | 369.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Lakers | 51c | 366.59$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 362.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Grizzlies | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Lakers | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Grizzlies | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Lakers | 72c | 336.53$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers | 72c | 325.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Grizzlies | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 72c | 314.61$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…50b9backed Grizzlies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…28c6backed Grizzlies | 32c | 311.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…7c31backed Grizzlies | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Lakers | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Grizzlies | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Lakers | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.