Chess · resolved market
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1493a81ba1359189a2471de0e029139001c8bc17f0e3af6e45e4f35e45a592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gukeshof Ding, Gukesh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,822,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,663,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,822,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Gukesh | 55c | 237,414$130,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,584.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Gukesh | 52c | 219,264$114,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,719.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Ding | 43c | 209,144$89,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,374.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Ding | 26c | 137,260$35,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,482.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Gukesh | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Gukesh | 52c | 99,466$51,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,161.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…b13cbacked Ding | 41c | 90,738$36,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,924.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…8541backed Gukesh | 77c | 90,498$69,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,615.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Ding | 44c | 84,825$37,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,282.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Gukesh | 58c | 77,362$45,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,147.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Ding | 51c | 64,433$32,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,963.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…6e18backed Ding | 44c | 58,543$25,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,633.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Ding | 3c | 55,762$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7a7dbacked Ding | 48c | 49,943$23,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,757.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Ding | 42c | 49,372$20,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,763.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Ding | 30c | 45,062$13,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,648.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Gukesh | 60c | 43,703$26,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,698.14 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Ding | 45c | 38,901$17,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,652.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Gukesh | 61c | 36,329$22,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,106.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Gukesh | 63c | 35,073$22,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,968.71 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Gukesh | 71c | 34,028$24,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,822.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…d6ddbacked Ding | 48c | 32,368$15,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,406.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Gukesh | 68c | 32,297$22,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,227.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Ding | 35c | 32,275$11,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,375.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Ding | 36c | 28,909$10,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,396.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…aaf6backed Ding | 48c | 28,588$13,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,698.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…ce4dbacked Gukesh | 56c | 26,479$14,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Gukesh | 60c | 26,239$15,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,523.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Gukesh | 61c | 26,212$16,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,196.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Ding | 39c | 25,000$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…b295backed Gukesh | 77c | 25,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…9dd7backed Ding | 19c | 24,270$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Ding | 48c | 24,139$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,553.86 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked Gukesh | 66c | 23,915$15,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…dea6backed Gukesh | 74c | 23,287$17,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Ding | 47c | 23,026$10,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Gukesh | 56c | 22,723$12,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,073.16 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Gukesh | 68c | 21,745$14,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.42 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Gukesh | 61c | 21,460$13,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,336 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…e4b3backed Ding | 31c | 20,674$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Ding | 34c | 19,724$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gukesh | 62c | 19,128$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Gukesh | 62c | 18,556$11,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +434.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…59a9backed Ding | 49c | 17,683$8,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,648.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…7ecbbacked Ding | 47c | 17,460$8,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,264.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…c201backed Gukesh | 58c | 17,139$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…2316backed Ding | 58c | 17,103$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…dd6dbacked Ding | 28c | 16,926$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Gukesh | 52c | 15,365$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,327.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Gukesh | 66c | 15,270$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Ding | 45c | 14,899$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…958dbacked Gukesh | 63c | 14,857$9,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…9a78backed Ding | 38c | 14,831$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…9eadbacked Gukesh | 60c | 12,675$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…75bcbacked Gukesh | 71c | 12,669$9,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Gukesh | 77c | 12,437$9,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Gukesh | 48c | 12,000$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,258.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…9f5ebacked Ding | 42c | 11,821$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Gukesh | 63c | 11,792$7,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…99acbacked Ding | 44c | 11,515$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec3…c3a0backed Gukesh | 72c | 11,470$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Ding | 40c | 11,166$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…4c1fbacked Ding | 37c | 10,913$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Ding | 42c | 10,788$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Gukesh | 61c | 10,717$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Gukesh | 78c | 10,539$8,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9f34backed Gukesh | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Ding | 50c | 9,907$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.94 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Ding | 35c | 9,044$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…669abacked Gukesh | 62c | 8,938$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…1db8backed Ding | 47c | 8,892$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Ding | 48c | 8,686$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0933…8daabacked Ding | 28c | 8,478$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…b3e7backed Ding | 28c | 8,478$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53d…2c1dbacked Ding | 28c | 8,448$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…0df1backed Ding | 28c | 8,448$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…7ad1backed Ding | 28c | 8,448$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…b981backed Ding | 28c | 8,431$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…88adbacked Ding | 28c | 8,431$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…1df3backed Ding | 28c | 8,431$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4a…95debacked Ding | 28c | 8,431$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e2…0a29backed Ding | 28c | 8,430$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…b754backed Ding | 28c | 8,430$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…83bbbacked Ding | 28c | 8,430$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…ae69backed Gukesh | 71c | 8,335$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Ding | 45c | 8,038$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…4f72backed Ding | 28c | 7,873$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Gukesh | 68c | 7,694$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed Ding | 52c | 7,508$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Gukesh | 63c | 7,380$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked Gukesh | 55c | 7,338$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Gukesh | 54c | 7,178$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…a763backed Gukesh | 72c | 7,035$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…4612backed Ding | 32c | 7,024$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…4f89backed Ding | 23c | 7,008$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Gukesh | 66c | 6,985$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Ding | 22c | 6,956$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3307backed Ding | 30c | 6,576$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…b892backed Gukesh | 76c | 6,402$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…0ea2backed Ding | 47c | 6,399$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.