NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d5d31e4b893d879f723d70623cf791fd19d38b61b8f8a74df04bd41bc96270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Commanders, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,118,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,191,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,118,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Eagles | 61c | 80,559$49,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,015.17 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Commanders | 42c | 59,133$24,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,863.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Commanders | 45c | 57,099$25,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,720.92 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Commanders | 34c | 46,008$15,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,642.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Commanders | 3c | 43,974$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.65 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Eagles | 68c | 36,252$24,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,470.68 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Commanders | 40c | 28,684$11,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,562.53 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Eagles | 49c | 24,803$12,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,574.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Commanders | 53c | 22,473$11,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.01 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Eagles | 64c | 22,023$14,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,848.28 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Eagles | 66c | 16,584$10,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.52 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 1c | 12,131$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…3893backed Commanders | 1c | 10,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Commanders | 37c | 8,288$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.7 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…0683backed Commanders | 1c | 7,995$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Commanders | 53c | 7,908$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Eagles | 61c | 7,289$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.39 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Commanders | 33c | 6,986$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Commanders | 7c | 6,813$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…dfbbbacked Commanders | 44c | 6,200$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Commanders | 33c | 6,021$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Commanders | 35c | 5,761$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Commanders | 35c | 5,405$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.59 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Commanders | 33c | 5,220$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Commanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…ed0bbacked Eagles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Commanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Commanders | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Eagles | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Commanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Commanders | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…9c2fbacked Eagles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Commanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Commanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a1e9backed Eagles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…8e55backed Eagles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Eagles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Commanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Eagles | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…ee2dbacked Eagles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Eagles | 66c | 4,967$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.78 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Eagles | 61c | 4,902$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.94 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Commanders | 46c | 4,133$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Eagles | 62c | 3,957$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.29 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Commanders | 43c | 3,939$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.4 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Commanders | 37c | 3,800$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Commanders | 35c | 3,787$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.53 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Commanders | 15c | 3,274$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Eagles | 51c | 3,051$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Eagles | 66c | 3,040$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Eagles | 65c | 3,033$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Commanders | 44c | 3,029$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…e8fabacked Commanders | 52c | 3,016$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Commanders | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Eagles | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Eagles | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…3b89backed Eagles | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Commanders | 36c | 2,974$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Eagles | 64c | 2,970$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Commanders | 37c | 2,970$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Commanders | 34c | 2,909$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Commanders | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.37 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Commanders | 49c | 2,648$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 45cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…25a2backed Eagles | 65c | 2,623$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Eagles | 65c | 2,500$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Commanders | 41c | 2,413$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.22 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Commanders | 4c | 2,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Eagles | 50c | 2,271$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Commanders | 36c | 2,183$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…62d3backed Commanders | 34c | 2,174$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Commanders | 27c | 2,109$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Eagles | 77c | 2,000$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.74 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Commanders | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Eagles | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Commanders | 36c | 1,993$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.86 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…1c7ebacked Commanders | 37c | 1,884$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Commanders | 42c | 1,878$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.33 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed Eagles | 55c | 1,851$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Commanders | 36c | 1,800$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…1b75backed Commanders | 58c | 1,715$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Commanders | 37c | 1,703$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Eagles | 64c | 1,683$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Commanders | 37c | 1,681$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Commanders | 35c | 1,669$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…1bc7backed Commanders | 34c | 1,618$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Eagles | 67c | 1,559$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Commanders | 50c | 1,540$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.32 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd67…4123backed Eagles | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Eagles | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Eagles | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Eagles | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.96 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…8b36backed Commanders | 35c | 1,495$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…9396backed Commanders | 34c | 1,468$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Commanders | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Commanders | 36c | 1,401$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Commanders | 45c | 1,400$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Commanders | 38c | 1,388$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…7056backed Commanders | 34c | 1,342$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Commanders | 33c | 1,318$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…9da6backed Commanders | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.