Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a68d828f7263f34391484404380c34efa9566f12a08a88553ddbe8e285c3ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,670,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,394,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,670,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,088 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 3c | 476,285$15,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,633.45 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 1c | 461,072$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 3c | 337,119$10,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,258.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed No | 11c | 319,740$33,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,840.11 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed No | 3c | 286,948$9,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,953.06 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 2c | 256,340$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 4c | 254,607$9,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,901.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…56ecbacked No | 6c | 218,434$13,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,748.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 4c | 205,070$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190.87 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 4c | 175,100$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed No | 0c | 163,529$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…72ccbacked No | 1c | 161,825$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 72c | 157,536$113,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,780.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 78c | 130,070$101,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,868.99 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…c3c2backed No | 4c | 125,355$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…134abacked No | 4c | 123,928$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…4e56backed No | 2c | 123,464$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked No | 3c | 122,781$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.6 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 14c | 115,668$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fcc0backed No | 2c | 112,661$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed No | 4c | 112,334$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.95 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…7ae5backed No | 2c | 109,547$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 6c | 108,630$6,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,465.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…b52bbacked No | 2c | 107,267$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed No | 5c | 98,248$5,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…1798backed No | 2c | 94,099$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…bae9backed No | 4c | 90,507$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked No | 6c | 86,628$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 18c | 86,299$15,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,622.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…4a5fbacked No | 7c | 84,892$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…91d7backed Yes | 59c | 79,113$46,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,436.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…3fb9backed No | 41c | 79,113$32,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,436.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 9c | 79,000$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,039.26 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6054…d55ebacked No | 4c | 78,216$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 3c | 63,191$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.1 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 6c | 62,276$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 2c | 62,038$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 3c | 61,500$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.73 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 7c | 60,364$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…b3d9backed No | 2c | 58,098$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…2172backed No | 5c | 56,239$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…4ec2backed No | 3c | 54,649$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…0d16backed No | 4c | 53,140$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…a788backed No | 12c | 52,774$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 2c | 50,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…f209backed No | 4c | 43,349$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef01…8315backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c00…026fbacked No | 4c | 37,782$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…5872backed No | 6c | 37,652$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…84e2backed No | 2c | 36,634$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 4c | 35,524$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.84 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…67b1backed No | 4c | 35,319$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…e38fbacked No | 3c | 34,432$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 2c | 34,066$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 4c | 33,757$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…64fbbacked No | 2c | 32,586$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…e696backed No | 74c | 29,569$21,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,881.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…67dfbacked Yes | 26c | 29,569$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,881.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked No | 6c | 28,500$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…c982backed No | 13c | 28,182$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.42 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…01e6backed No | 4c | 28,051$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 4c | 27,495$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…4a8ebacked No | 3c | 27,366$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…af0fbacked No | 8c | 27,305$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…76bebacked No | 1c | 27,107$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…3198backed No | 4c | 26,787$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 11c | 26,621$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.55 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 4c | 26,315$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 25,987$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.66 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…f8e9backed No | 15c | 25,014$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b9…dd6fbacked No | 3c | 24,860$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…8221backed Yes | 76c | 24,785$18,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 24,060$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.9 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…1fedbacked No | 4c | 23,647$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a1…20afbacked No | 3c | 23,255$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…1134backed No | 5c | 22,370$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 7c | 22,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…8895backed No | 2c | 21,770$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 3c | 21,641$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…9d56backed No | 5c | 21,220$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5991…b8d2backed No | 2c | 20,678$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed No | 5c | 20,609$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…142cbacked No | 3c | 19,595$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed No | 18c | 19,473$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…5626backed No | 2c | 18,000$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…5373backed No | 3c | 17,858$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…c6ebbacked No | 5c | 17,835$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…2a9fbacked No | 3c | 17,321$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 31c | 17,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…da50backed No | 6c | 16,696$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…77d8backed No | 1c | 16,593$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…3c7abacked Yes | 76c | 16,413$12,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe810…8fc5backed No | 15c | 16,331$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…108bbacked No | 4c | 15,624$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…91bdbacked No | 14c | 15,252$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8f92backed No | 3c | 15,226$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 79c | 14,548$11,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…d3acbacked No | 3c | 14,484$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…c051backed No | 7c | 14,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…501bbacked No | 4c | 13,933$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.