Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x362c61cfb577a719526b03e7596a3ef3d6d9aadf5292e2e2391c2cdf62892730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,479,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,962,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,479,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,828,693$13,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,543.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 2,725,294$11,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,708.03 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 0c | 2,457,318$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.32 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,874,463$9,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,554.73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 1,871,762$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.47 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…931ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,462,942$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 1,199,995$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…1824backed Yes | 0c | 879,711$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…9334backed Yes | 0c | 871,876$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a41…c090backed Yes | 0c | 868,781$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 842,899$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.29 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 620,737$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.79 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked Yes | 0c | 527,804$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…3a3ebacked Yes | 0c | 512,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…104ebacked Yes | 0c | 509,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 1c | 441,488$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 416,295$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe26…64b0backed Yes | 0c | 366,170$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 0c | 365,640$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Yes | 0c | 358,953$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…b52bbacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…2de9backed Yes | 0c | 295,262$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 224,999$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked Yes | 0c | 195,099$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.85 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 1c | 183,000$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 0c | 170,460$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 0c | 161,667$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 0c | 158,744$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…6a23backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…672dbacked Yes | 0c | 124,750$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…68d1backed Yes | 0c | 119,278$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…7086backed Yes | 0c | 116,950$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…e784backed Yes | 0c | 108,639$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 105,877$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.14 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…03b5backed Yes | 0c | 105,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…2ae0backed Yes | 0c | 103,580$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…a366backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…8376backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2736backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa47…c4ccbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…8d6dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…f4f0backed Yes | 1c | 98,664$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…8eadbacked Yes | 0c | 91,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 86,667$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…2bf9backed Yes | 0c | 77,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 0c | 72,948$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…fcd4backed Yes | 0c | 70,060$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…ec47backed Yes | 0c | 69,054$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…79eebacked Yes | 1c | 62,980$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.6 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…9c59backed Yes | 1c | 62,164$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b9…dd6fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,299$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…c933backed Yes | 2c | 55,058$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…797dbacked Yes | 0c | 54,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…12babacked Yes | 0c | 53,500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed Yes | 1c | 52,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…d710backed Yes | 0c | 51,250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…5985backed Yes | 0c | 50,594$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…323fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,078$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…dadcbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…3d17backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…5855backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…511bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…73ddbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…481cbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…1836backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…f49fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,050$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…43dabacked Yes | 0c | 47,949$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc77…fafdbacked Yes | 0c | 46,131$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…9869backed Yes | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…6740backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…7ab3backed Yes | 0c | 41,478$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…884dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…be52backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…0b20backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…ce17backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…57b0backed Yes | 0c | 38,940$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…11cebacked Yes | 0c | 36,250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…b09bbacked Yes | 0c | 34,840$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 0c | 33,410$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6608…4d0cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…fd2bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4952…13a5backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…5b28backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5840…ced3backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…0754backed Yes | 0c | 29,680$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 28,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2ad9backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a5abbacked Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…ae7dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,857$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bd…dc41backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6189backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…af0fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…c7c4backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…84a9backed Yes | 0c | 24,930$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.