NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2acc650bb7fff01ee3bbf23b74d70aecb5d0817702a870a9ad51f4a9544b6eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $595,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Panthers | 61c | 202,355$124,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,295.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 102,633$34,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,146.22 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 67,610$45,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,958.79 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Panthers | 32c | 35,064$11,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,823.8 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…d5cebacked Panthers | 64c | 30,176$19,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,863.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…949dbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 30,176$10,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,863.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 26,243$11,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,153.41 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 20,865$7,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,788.06 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 58c | 16,979$9,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056.74 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 13,750$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 63c | 13,287$8,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.83 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 13,099$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.6 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 10,841$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.45 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…9ce3backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 10,321$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 10,270$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.21 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…65abbacked Panthers | 53c | 9,979$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +223.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 8,498$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Panthers | 62c | 8,263$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.5 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Panthers | 56c | 7,669$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.27 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 6,562$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.83 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,930$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.8 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…3f06backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 5,193$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 5,169$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.21 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,012$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.2 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 4,881$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.97 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 64c | 3,899$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.51 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 3,849$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.11 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 3,663$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.2 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 63c | 3,005$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.78 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,425$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.74 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Panthers | 33c | 2,335$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.44 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…8a28backed Panthers | 57c | 1,857$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 45c | 1,821$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.04 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 50c | 1,557$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.42 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.25 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,442$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.95 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,440$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers | 69c | 1,428$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Panthers | 42c | 1,298$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Panthers | 50c | 1,103$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.11 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,096$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,067$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,031$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked Maple Leafs | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Panthers | 80c | 990$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…a10abacked Panthers | 36c | 960.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…3eecbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 929.63$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 840.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…e405backed Panthers | 51c | 831.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…326bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 815.48$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Panthers | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers | 36c | 700$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 692$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.16 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 635.62$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 498$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Panthers | 73c | 497.84$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…346bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 446.38$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 434.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 429.29$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…8f44backed Panthers | 60c | 415.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 410$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc9…0e6fbacked Panthers | 51c | 407.94$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…af7dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Panthers | 36c | 400$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.86 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Panthers | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…b769backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 378$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3809…d0e7backed Panthers | 51c | 363.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…d269backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 355.77$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 335$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 325.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Panthers | 54c | 306$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Panthers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Panthers | 47c | 296.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…9a22backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 257.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 21c | 256.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Panthers | 75c | 255$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…2382backed Panthers | 57c | 249.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…f3eabacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 222.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Panthers | 51c | 221.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…ccf4backed Panthers | 65c | 216.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Panthers | 57c | 210.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Panthers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…c7a5backed Panthers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 193.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…d857backed Panthers | 58c | 190$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…013fbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.