NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cfc9190536bd923cc459831a87479a5335c59f053188e09b752746292a0993a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,486,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,669,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,486,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 57c | 214,290$123,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,196.54 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 66c | 172,079$114,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,041.78 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Warriors | 68c | 142,946$97,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,491.81 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Mavericks | 35c | 131,040$45,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,616.79 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 31c | 100,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 35c | 83,730$29,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,296.45 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Mavericks | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,199.96 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 66c | 58,305$38,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,398.18 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks | 34c | 51,471$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,970.59 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 59c | 44,838$26,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,327.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks | 35c | 40,132$14,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,972.85 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Mavericks | 34c | 35,847$12,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,658.88 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 66c | 33,000$21,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,779.96 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 49c | 31,494$15,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,197.14 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Mavericks | 32c | 31,250$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Mavericks | 31c | 28,998$8,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,008.62 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 57c | 28,281$15,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,987.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 33c | 27,586$9,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,350.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 33c | 25,621$8,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,155.64 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 41c | 25,490$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,138.13 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks | 53c | 22,405$11,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,583.56 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed Warriors | 63c | 22,201$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Mavericks | 38c | 20,744$7,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,920.47 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Mavericks | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Warriors | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.98 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 33c | 19,999$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,399.45 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 68c | 19,474$13,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,242.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks | 35c | 19,249$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,596.16 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Warriors | 53c | 19,106$10,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.16 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 30c | 18,803$5,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,161.77 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Warriors | 58c | 18,508$10,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,812.43 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Mavericks | 32c | 17,936$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,228.45 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Warriors | 62c | 17,710$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,980.14 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Mavericks | 32c | 17,188$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,687.5 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Mavericks | 36c | 17,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,880 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Warriors | 67c | 15,885$10,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,698.63 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 4c | 15,634$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks | 32c | 15,299$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,445.53 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Warriors | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Mavericks | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.88 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…307abacked Warriors | 62c | 14,400$8,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,927.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738c…5064backed Mavericks | 37c | 14,400$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,071.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 5c | 14,146$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.86 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 35c | 14,093$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,113.1 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 66c | 13,710$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 38c | 13,096$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.29 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 66c | 12,121$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mavericks | 71c | 11,680$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.59 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Mavericks | 38c | 11,110$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.72 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 63c | 10,826$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,847.84 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 53c | 10,000$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,294.37 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Mavericks | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Mavericks | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Mavericks | 38c | 10,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Warriors | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Mavericks | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.88 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 34c | 10,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,569.42 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Mavericks | 35c | 9,739$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.38 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Warriors | 67c | 9,404$6,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,255.58 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 63c | 9,208$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Warriors | 69c | 9,155$6,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Mavericks | 50c | 8,694$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.94 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…f5c6backed Warriors | 6c | 8,575$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mavericks | 34c | 8,235$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.29 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…1e99backed Mavericks | 34c | 8,227$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 54c | 8,056$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Mavericks | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Warriors | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks | 38c | 7,898$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.04 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Warriors | 62c | 6,999$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.38 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 39c | 6,744$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Warriors | 5c | 6,516$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Mavericks | 37c | 6,300$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.99 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Warriors | 53c | 6,259$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 33c | 6,050$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Warriors | 38c | 6,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 42c | 5,999$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Mavericks | 39c | 5,951$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.71 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Warriors | 66c | 5,951$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.69 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks | 32c | 5,628$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.13 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 5,626$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Mavericks | 34c | 5,612$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.72 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Warriors | 55c | 5,499$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.19 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Mavericks | 35c | 5,429$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.57 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 41c | 5,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…a052backed Warriors | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Mavericks | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.96 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Mavericks | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.94 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Warriors | 63c | 4,999$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Warriors | 54c | 4,980$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.01 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 33c | 4,848$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.46 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 60c | 4,766$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.49 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Mavericks | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.5 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…ce2cbacked Mavericks | 73c | 4,671$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.07 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Mavericksthis page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.