NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4b0655b71c25fa2eae94bf86dc0296473142ffbf9970b55d09b72b76628154

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Warriors, Mavericks
Resolved: Jan 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $106,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $126,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors	52c	24,477$12,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,795.03	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Warriors	59c	22,000$12,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,979.98	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2db…aa08backed Mavericks	53c	18,500$9,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,778.12	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks	41c	17,427$7,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,282.02	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Mavericks	44c	9,272$4,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,198.84	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors	48c	6,414$3,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,078.35	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks	41c	5,412$2,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,181.41	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	42c	5,159$2,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,974.71	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Warriors	59c	2,913$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,718.58	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Warriors	55c	1,825$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks	41c	1,785$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.03	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Mavericks	47c	1,632$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.95	142	54.9%78 W · 64 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	43c	1,483$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.52	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Warriors	54c	1,456$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.24	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Mavericks	46c	1,456$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.1	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks	45c	1,400$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks	48c	1,318$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.71	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Warriors	51c	1,296$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661	16	50%8 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Mavericks	52c	1,222$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.56	110	48.2%53 W · 57 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Warriors	52c	1,054$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.96	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Warriors	63c	1,026$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Warriors	55c	999.99$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	41c	909$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.31	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks	46c	891.65$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.03	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks	44c	834.19$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.96	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Mavericks	45c	814.93$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.21	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Warriors	60c	665.63$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.77	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Mavericks	50c	601.2$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.2	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Warriors	59c	534.03$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.31	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Warriors	54c	491$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.43	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Warriors	57c	388.46$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.95	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Mavericks	42c	380.17$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.17	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Mavericks	68c	376.62$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.62	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks	46c	370.36$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.36	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks	46c	363.43$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92aa…f5afbacked Warriors	57c	360.51$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.05	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Warriors	58c	347.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.26	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Warriors	56c	346.5$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.87	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+11.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors	59c	338.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors	54c	309$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.86	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Warriors	51c	294.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.95	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Mavericks	74c	271.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.6	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Warriors	57c	264.89$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.71	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Warriors	48c	264.02$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.71	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks	44c	250$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks	45c	245.24$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.56	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Mavericks	44c	240.54$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.73	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Mavericks	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d33…b51abacked Warriors	57c	212.75$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.75	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Warriors	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks	44c	199.97$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.98	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f75…4a50backed Warriors	56c	197.02$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b29…6d5abacked Warriors	56c	192.91$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.9	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks	42c	187.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.71	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks	42c	183.66$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.52	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Warriors	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e97…727fbacked Warriors	57c	163.25$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors	54c	163.05$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.04	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Mavericks	43c	153.74$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.23	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Warriors	28c	152.53$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.27	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors	50c	150.81$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.23	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks	44c	143$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.08	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks	51c	141.54$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.31	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Warriors	24c	135.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Mavericks	45c	135.56$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.56	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Mavericks	45c	133.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks	42c	125.69$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors	57c	116.27$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Warriors	57c	111.34$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.37	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mavericks	40c	105.46$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.23	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Warriors	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Warriors	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	132	65.2%86 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Warriors	58c	99.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Warriors	57c	91.38$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Warriors	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Warriors	53c	89.26$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89af…631fbacked Warriors	57c	89.26$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe7…676fbacked Warriors	57c	85$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Warriors	59c	84.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Warriors	53c	80.51$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.58	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks	50c	80.09$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.11	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks	44c	76.37$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.11	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks	37c	73.33$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.2	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Mavericks	41c	72.95$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.04	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Warriors	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Mavericks	44c	70$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Warriors	59c	67.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors	59c	67.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Warriors	59c	66.1$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks	39c	63.62$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.81	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Warriors	57c	60.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mavericks	54c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Warriors	61c	54.1$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Warriors	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mavericks	47c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb37…6c16backed Warriors	56c	42.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Warriors	49c	42.27$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Warriors	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Warriors	56c	40.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.13	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Warriors	46c	40.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)this page
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event