NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0453c23ba3c83aa66e5ffba246daa1d39b0280185bc67a1f111ef124e26d05a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 509,162$264,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,680.2 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mavericks | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Mavericks | 49c | 51,020$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,020.41 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 41,985$20,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,832.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Warriors | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.96 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 10,815$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 65c | 6,719$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.77 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 34c | 5,665$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,682$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.57 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 46c | 4,345$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 3,571$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.43 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,951$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.97 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Mavericks | 76c | 2,589$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Warriors | 51c | 1,371$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.44 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Mavericks | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 35c | 681.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Warriors | 49c | 612.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 598.6$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.34 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 48c | 533.24$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 49c | 507.23$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Mavericks | 53c | 502.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks | 50c | 292.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Mavericks | 50c | 241.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 64c | 238$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Mavericks | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Warriors | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Warriors | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 194.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Mavericks | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 178.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Mavericks | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Mavericks | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Mavericks | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Warriors | 27c | 136.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Mavericks | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…8783backed Mavericks | 69c | 115.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…38c5backed Mavericks | 73c | 109.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…0a5ebacked Mavericks | 75c | 106.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Mavericks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 34c | 90.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…6de2backed Mavericks | 63c | 78.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Mavericks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…d687backed Mavericks | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…4384backed Mavericks | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…7245backed Mavericks | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…2328backed Mavericks | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 76cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…d53bbacked Mavericks | 72c | 69.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…07f6backed Mavericks | 73c | 68.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…fbb3backed Mavericks | 74c | 67.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Warriors | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…f373backed Mavericks | 74c | 66.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…19c6backed Mavericks | 74c | 66.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 78cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…392abacked Mavericks | 75c | 66.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 76cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b8…7469backed Mavericks | 75c | 66.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…f360backed Mavericks | 76c | 63.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…d267backed Mavericks | 75c | 62.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ee…37ffbacked Mavericks | 74c | 62.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…3c26backed Mavericks | 75c | 62.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Mavericks | 66c | 60.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…970ebacked Mavericks | 80c | 60.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Warriors | 52c | 56.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Mavericks | 50c | 53.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks | 49c | 50.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Mavericks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Mavericks | 50c | 40.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Warriors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 33.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Mavericks | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…a639backed Mavericks | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…a387backed Mavericks | 72c | 27.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Warriors | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks | 49c | 26.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…0b2abacked Mavericks | 75c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…7cf7backed Mavericks | 75c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…95f3backed Mavericks | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Mavericks | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Mavericks | 55c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Warriors | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…c8fbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…cecbbacked Warriors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Warriors | 71c | 18.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.