NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf0b59ad67cd1c6c9b08eeaa023b94cf07c79f014edffaa1e934e2e8c22c892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 47c | 9,409$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.23 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 8,206$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…0f88backed Over | 48c | 5,641$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…7986backed Over | 48c | 5,487$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…7154backed Over | 48c | 5,432$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…fe7ebacked Over | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…a64cbacked Over | 48c | 5,396$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…4e18backed Over | 47c | 5,330$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…5a38backed Over | 48c | 5,325$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…87ebbacked Over | 48c | 5,324$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…153ebacked Over | 48c | 5,322$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…ed9abacked Over | 47c | 5,248$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 5,155$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…d203backed Under | 52c | 4,203$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…e4b6backed Over | 47c | 3,899$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…c7febacked Over | 47c | 3,852$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 53c | 3,226$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.2 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 2,807$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.87 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 45c | 2,634$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.29 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…1999backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…cf1cbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…4bd8backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…1e20backed Under | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…960abacked Under | 52c | 1,984$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…483ebacked Under | 53c | 1,952$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…f4e5backed Over | 54c | 1,920$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…2d23backed Under | 52c | 1,918$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c1…d419backed Under | 52c | 1,909$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9d6bbacked Under | 53c | 1,893$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…f284backed Under | 52c | 1,891$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…5d22backed Under | 52c | 1,875$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…5007backed Under | 52c | 1,869$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…e9d6backed Under | 52c | 1,862$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…ba11backed Under | 53c | 1,815$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…9aeebacked Under | 52c | 1,761$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…5489backed Under | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…4403backed Under | 53c | 1,748$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…081abacked Under | 52c | 1,732$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…9bb7backed Over | 47c | 1,722$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…e3fdbacked Under | 53c | 1,722$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8f…5a0bbacked Under | 52c | 1,713$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,670$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…1fb4backed Under | 52c | 1,648$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…b923backed Under | 52c | 1,639$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…43eebacked Under | 52c | 1,625$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d8bfbacked Under | 53c | 1,622$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8eb9backed Under | 53c | 1,621$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…5335backed Under | 53c | 1,607$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3221backed Under | 52c | 1,593$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…5ec8backed Under | 53c | 1,563$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…4d57backed Under | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…1f01backed Under | 52c | 1,537$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…1ba5backed Under | 53c | 1,358$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…f69bbacked Under | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…e072backed Under | 52c | 1,251$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 1,182$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,141$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 50c | 1,029$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.54 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 50c | 979.8$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.9 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…706bbacked Under | 53c | 974$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…c6a5backed Under | 53c | 919$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 786.19$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 657$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 45c | 644.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 47c | 469$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 463.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 415.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 36c | 412.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 51c | 380.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 50c | 350.28$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 54c | 333.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 46c | 326.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 33c | 324.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 314.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Under | 47c | 212.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 200.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 194$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 47c | 184.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 174.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 154.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 151.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 60c | 148.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 49c | 146.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 37c | 94.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179f…80b0backed Over | 47c | 74.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 17c | 60.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.