NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa8df4a903426fd2bd8364f6051ece621e5b193366a166d4a360f5322e5c94f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…4d57backed Under | 46c | 5,442$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d8bfbacked Under | 46c | 5,418$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…e072backed Under | 46c | 5,409$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8eb9backed Under | 46c | 5,364$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…5489backed Under | 46c | 5,268$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…1999backed Under | 46c | 5,027$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…1fb4backed Under | 46c | 4,984$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9d6bbacked Under | 46c | 4,822$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…cf1cbacked Under | 46c | 4,821$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…43eebacked Under | 46c | 4,685$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…ba11backed Under | 46c | 4,421$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…1f01backed Under | 46c | 4,261$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…f284backed Over | 54c | 3,778$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…e9d6backed Over | 54c | 3,486$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c1…d419backed Over | 54c | 3,452$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…2d23backed Over | 54c | 3,421$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…960abacked Over | 54c | 3,312$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3221backed Over | 54c | 3,061$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…b923backed Over | 54c | 2,572$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 2,568$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…5ec8backed Over | 54c | 2,038$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…d203backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 37c | 1,981$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.43 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…c7febacked Over | 54c | 1,973$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…c6a5backed Over | 54c | 1,942$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…0f5ebacked Over | 54c | 1,865$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…706bbacked Over | 54c | 1,864$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…b208backed Under | 46c | 1,863$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…e27bbacked Over | 54c | 1,830$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…4403backed Over | 54c | 1,818$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…e4b6backed Over | 54c | 1,791$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…c945backed Over | 54c | 1,745$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…ed9abacked Over | 54c | 1,742$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…4745backed Under | 46c | 1,712$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…1ba5backed Over | 54c | 1,685$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…5a38backed Over | 54c | 1,658$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,641$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…7986backed Over | 54c | 1,579$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…f62dbacked Over | 54c | 1,567$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…f69bbacked Over | 54c | 1,527$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4604…aaa7backed Under | 46c | 1,523$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…4e18backed Over | 54c | 1,421$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…9aeebacked Over | 54c | 1,352$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…5335backed Over | 54c | 1,262$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…c0bebacked Under | 46c | 1,185$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…2343backed Over | 54c | 1,106$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…fe7ebacked Over | 54c | 1,103$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…5d22backed Over | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…1e20backed Over | 54c | 988$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…a64cbacked Over | 54c | 968$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…483ebacked Over | 54c | 962$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…4bd8backed Over | 54c | 962$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8f…5a0bbacked Over | 54c | 952$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…87ebbacked Over | 54c | 752$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 675.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…0f88backed Over | 54c | 528$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…7154backed Over | 54c | 521$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 513.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 60c | 463$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under | 64c | 424.69$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…153ebacked Over | 54c | 421$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 384$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 58c | 338.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 311.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Over | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 40c | 294$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 45c | 261.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 189.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 53c | 126$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 118.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 117.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 30c | 113.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…cce4backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…081abacked Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Over | 60c | 100.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…5007backed Over | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 42c | 85.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 68.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…a6babacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 42c | 56.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 60c | 55.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 61c | 53.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 53c | 46.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 46c | 42.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.