NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a2ff5573a1ac5720c4f2e9b01d1f3bd9a697d3009773044cc4151b748d56fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Warriors | 53c | 38,708$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Warriors | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 21,807$10,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,724.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mavericks | 48c | 19,900$9,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,347.97 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 14,090$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Warriors | 52c | 7,858$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.01 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 52c | 5,876$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.57 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Warriors | 51c | 5,686$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 52c | 4,640$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 51c | 4,218$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,213$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.02 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,888$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 51c | 3,862$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.82 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 50c | 3,846$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.84 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,120$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.76 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,062$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.62 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 54c | 1,832$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.03 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Warriors | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Warriors | 53c | 927.15$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.39 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 889.18$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 45c | 811$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Warriors | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Mavericks | 48c | 692.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Warriors | 53c | 680$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Warriors | 55c | 621$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.55 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Warriors | 54c | 500.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Warriors | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 51c | 357.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Warriors | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Mavericks | 50c | 317.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Warriors | 53c | 309.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Warriors | 51c | 262.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Warriors | 53c | 229.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Mavericks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Warriors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors | 52c | 199.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Warriors | 50c | 191.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Warriors | 53c | 183.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Warriors | 55c | 166$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 46c | 162.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Mavericks | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 46c | 137.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 116.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Mavericks | 48c | 104.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Mavericks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Mavericks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Warriors | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Warriors | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…38b9backed Mavericks | 49c | 96.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Warriors | 51c | 87.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Mavericks | 47c | 81.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Warriors | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Mavericks | 46c | 72.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Warriors | 53c | 70.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Warriors | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Warriors | 53c | 61.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Mavericks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Mavericks | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Warriors | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Warriors | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Warriors | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Warriors | 53c | 53.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Warriors | 52c | 52.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Mavericks | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…1f46backed Mavericks | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks | 48c | 48.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Warriors | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Warriors | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Warriors | 53c | 45.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Warriors | 51c | 42.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Mavericks | 48c | 39.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Mavericks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Warriors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Mavericks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Warriors | 51c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Warriors | 53c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Warriors | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Warriors | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.