NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2d05c40e7e2a91b654878c0db2f43e10c435dd0e295ec99789f044d83b950a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.98 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 11,722$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,042$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 7,406$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.98 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 47c | 5,728$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…9aeebacked Under | 48c | 5,585$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…081abacked Under | 49c | 5,548$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…483ebacked Under | 48c | 5,375$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…5d22backed Under | 49c | 5,321$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…f69bbacked Under | 48c | 5,302$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…5335backed Under | 48c | 5,283$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…1e20backed Under | 49c | 5,239$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…e27bbacked Under | 49c | 5,180$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…1ba5backed Under | 48c | 5,115$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…445dbacked Over | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…b6d0backed Under | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…9bb7backed Over | 52c | 2,874$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…e3fdbacked Under | 48c | 2,874$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 2,863$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…0867backed Over | 52c | 2,574$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…57e6backed Under | 48c | 2,563$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…361cbacked Over | 52c | 2,544$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…3795backed Under | 48c | 2,543$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…e57bbacked Over | 52c | 2,536$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…bd10backed Under | 48c | 2,532$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…2099backed Under | 48c | 2,528$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…785cbacked Over | 52c | 2,512$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…3862backed Under | 48c | 2,406$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…34bcbacked Under | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…fe7ebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…e072backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3221backed Over | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…4403backed Over | 52c | 1,967$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…4d57backed Over | 51c | 1,957$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…ec1cbacked Over | 52c | 1,932$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…5ec8backed Over | 52c | 1,931$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c1…d419backed Over | 51c | 1,924$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…706bbacked Over | 52c | 1,912$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…c6a5backed Over | 52c | 1,889$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…b923backed Over | 52c | 1,856$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…5a38backed Over | 51c | 1,843$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9d6bbacked Over | 52c | 1,802$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…ba11backed Over | 52c | 1,784$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…1fb4backed Over | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8eb9backed Over | 52c | 1,756$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…1999backed Over | 52c | 1,729$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…e4b6backed Over | 52c | 1,725$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…cf1cbacked Over | 51c | 1,710$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…a64cbacked Over | 51c | 1,698$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…2e54backed Over | 52c | 1,678$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…3d16backed Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…4e18backed Over | 52c | 1,660$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…7986backed Over | 51c | 1,653$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…c7febacked Over | 52c | 1,634$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…7154backed Over | 51c | 1,621$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…e9d6backed Over | 51c | 1,584$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…b22bbacked Under | 48c | 1,551$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…d203backed Over | 51c | 1,527$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…ed9abacked Over | 52c | 1,514$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d8bfbacked Over | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…f415backed Over | 52c | 1,417$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5066…5eabbacked Over | 52c | 1,349$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…d173backed Over | 52c | 1,342$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 46c | 888.42$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 611$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 47c | 423.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 252$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 44c | 172.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 149.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Over | 54c | 124.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 49c | 121.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 57c | 90.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 50c | 74.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 46c | 52.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 47c | 50.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…52bdbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 56c | 48.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…2380backed Over | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 41.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 39.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 54c | 34.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…59adbacked Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Over | 57c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…c438backed Over | 59c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.