NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22dbe7d922a1ae008a31e5a819a7eec32fff969d1f2a84fc3321ba5081ba489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 52c | 28,899$15,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,027.53 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Warriors | 51c | 25,189$12,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.22 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Warriors | 55c | 23,636$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 47c | 20,000$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Mavericks | 49c | 19,000$9,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 16,745$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,544.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Warriors | 53c | 10,842$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,746.36 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Warriors | 54c | 6,767$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.88 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Mavericks | 49c | 5,850$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.5 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 44c | 5,048$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 4,782$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,384$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.32 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 54c | 3,583$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.6 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,770$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Warriors | 57c | 2,600$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 43c | 2,338$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.93 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Warriors | 56c | 2,100$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,018$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.57 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,013$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Warriors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,559$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.71 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Warriors | 56c | 1,499$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.8 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Warriors | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Mavericks | 47c | 980$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Mavericks | 43c | 699.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Warriors | 54c | 636$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 45c | 619.82$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…eee6backed Warriors | 56c | 576.68$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors | 53c | 567.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 53c | 452.27$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 447.06$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Mavericks | 49c | 416.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Mavericks | 44c | 399.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.98 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Warriors | 55c | 344.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 46c | 328.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Mavericks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Mavericks | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…f8debacked Mavericks | 49c | 235.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…d412backed Mavericks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Mavericks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mavericks | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 57c | 195$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Warriors | 48c | 192.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Mavericks | 43c | 186.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Warriors | 56c | 180.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…3f9ebacked Mavericks | 59c | 169.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…608cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 48c | 151.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…0529backed Mavericks | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 133.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Mavericks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Warriors | 52c | 105.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Warriors | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Mavericks | 43c | 84.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Warriors | 55c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 54c | 74.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Warriors | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 56c | 72.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Mavericks | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Warriors | 57c | 52.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 57c | 51.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Mavericks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Warriors | 55c | 45.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Mavericks | 43c | 43.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Mavericks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Mavericks | 43c | 42.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mavericks | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…92bdbacked Warriors | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 259 | 30.5%79 W · 180 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…cfffbacked Warriors | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Warriors | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…edffbacked Warriors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Mavericks | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Warriors | 55c | 32.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Warriors | 57c | 30.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Mavericks | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Warriors | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Mavericks | 49c | 27.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Mavericks | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Warriors | 57c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Mavericks | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Warriors | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Warriors vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.