TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21fc…f3d2backed Rangers45c30,442$13,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,719.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Avalanche49c27,502$13,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,957.551850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rangers49c11,465$5,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,627.5632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche55c5,563$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.841,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Avalanche47c5,192$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.573116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche57c5,164$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.7292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Rangers50c4,436$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.918139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f6…e0a1backed Avalanche50c3,551$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche69c3,459$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.4744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers51c3,403$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.6335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Avalanche55c2,561$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.983743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Rangers53c2,366$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Rangers51c1,460$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.313756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers51c1,168$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Rangers54c1,059$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.012948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers53c1,000$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.6985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers50c946.43$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche44c938.97$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…2577backed Rangers33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rangers38c780.46$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29720540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Rangers51c674.16$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers51c513.97$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1354349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Avalanche46c505$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff90…993cbacked Avalanche67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Rangers46c467.01$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.123145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Rangers31c434.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.55322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8bc…51fdbacked Avalanche67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers54c397$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1341,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Avalanche61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c7…995dbacked Avalanche75c294.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rangers51c292$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Rangers38c286.84$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Avalanche76c260.72$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Avalanche69c234.26$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Rangers15c233.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers51c225.85$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche48c216.61$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Avalanche45c210.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.513452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers47c210$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Rangers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche60c190.58$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Rangers55c181.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Rangers51c175$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0548149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rangers61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…f241backed Avalanche74c161.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc178…0abbbacked Avalanche45c155.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f4…0eb4backed Avalanche46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Rangers14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Rangers45c144.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.964042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche47c135.61$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed6…bb83backed Avalanche49c130.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Avalanche77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58bb…1bd7backed Rangers51c119.94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.175054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Rangers51c115.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa06c…6defbacked Avalanche68c115$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…1a71backed Avalanche46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed Avalanche48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed Rangers55c103.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2034backed Avalanche73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Avalanche49c101.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.422246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Avalanche49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5145954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Rangers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5128542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Avalanche77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Rangers35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Rangers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed Avalanche73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Rangers53c99.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.622864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rangers55c97.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4119438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d0…3319backed Rangers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa772…c990backed Rangers52c93.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-58.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Rangers54c93.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…604dbacked Rangers56c91.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Rangers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Rangers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…5a22backed Rangers35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed Rangers50c88.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche52c88.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54b2…531dbacked Avalanche49c88.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Rangers59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…13a1backed Rangers56c83.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…79b7backed Rangers52c81.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7b…f22abacked Rangers52c81.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed Avalanche46c80.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.431376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Rangers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Avalanche48c79.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.192250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Rangers34c77.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e26…4689backed Rangers56c75.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c8…d6d7backed Rangers56c75.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8302…b0a9backed Rangers53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Avalanche78c69.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2615470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rangers51c68.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.982528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62d4…dc09backed Avalanche45c60.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…a688backed Avalanche46c60.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.871668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd6d…5720backed Avalanche49c60.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Rangers59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.