NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f61244a916622ca1dcae38c162cebccfa2124f533e9bd3740196183afc20eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Eagles, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,009,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,103,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Eagles | 67c | 240,650$162,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,146.96 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Commanders | 31c | 178,037$55,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,064.14 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Eagles | 74c | 142,069$104,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,681.13 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Eagles | 69c | 75,282$52,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,001.51 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Commanders | 31c | 57,838$17,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,977.01 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 27c | 43,075$11,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,388.01 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Commanders | 33c | 32,067$10,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,484.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Commanders | 32c | 30,025$9,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,456.96 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Commanders | 18c | 26,223$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,389.76 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Commanders | 33c | 24,000$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,009.81 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Commanders | 38c | 23,240$8,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,331.54 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Commanders | 30c | 22,750$6,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,959.46 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Eagles | 79c | 22,493$17,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,765.47 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Commanders | 32c | 20,422$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,887.13 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Eagles | 72c | 19,796$14,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,347.07 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Commanders | 37c | 15,435$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,693.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Commanders | 28c | 14,205$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,228.87 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 32c | 12,500$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Commanders | 25c | 12,305$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,171.81 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Eagles | 69c | 11,589$7,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,989.49 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Commanders | 31c | 10,266$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.05 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Commanders | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.97 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Commanders | 32c | 9,778$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,649.13 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Commanders | 31c | 9,238$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.44 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Eagles | 65c | 7,500$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.9 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Commanders | 20c | 6,480$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…2ed3backed Eagles | 69c | 6,087$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Commanders | 34c | 5,627$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.65 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Commanders | 27c | 5,432$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.66 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Commanders | 27c | 5,061$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Commanders | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Commanders | 28c | 4,950$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.18 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Eagles | 1c | 4,919$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Eagles | 17c | 4,828$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.95 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…c614backed Eagles | 69c | 4,691$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…4e3bbacked Commanders | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Commanders | 26c | 4,613$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.4 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Eagles | 67c | 4,000$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Commanders | 24c | 3,663$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Eagles | 72c | 3,542$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.91 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Eagles | 79c | 3,477$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.64 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Commanders | 34c | 3,475$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.12 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Eagles | 69c | 3,467$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.1 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Eagles | 72c | 3,428$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Eagles | 77c | 3,383$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.98 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Commanders | 27c | 3,299$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.44 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…93c8backed Commanders | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Eagles | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Eagles | 67c | 2,836$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Eagles | 69c | 2,692$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Eagles | 69c | 2,447$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Commanders | 35c | 2,365$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.34 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Eagles | 65c | 2,359$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.17 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Eagles | 61c | 2,336$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.76 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…3d0cbacked Eagles | 65c | 2,154$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Eagles | 68c | 2,024$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.42 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Commanders | 36c | 2,003$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Commanders | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Commanders | 37c | 1,830$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.48 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…134dbacked Commanders | 32c | 1,760$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Commanders | 32c | 1,728$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.81 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Eagles | 73c | 1,700$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Commanders | 41c | 1,690$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Eagles | 69c | 1,683$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Eagles | 77c | 1,612$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Eagles | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Commanders | 32c | 1,482$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Commanders | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.19 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…6fe3backed Eagles | 65c | 1,394$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Eagles | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Commanders | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.01 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Eagles | 76c | 1,317$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.89 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Commanders | 32c | 1,281$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.13 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Commanders | 32c | 1,243$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Commanders | 32c | 1,231$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Eagles | 65c | 1,225$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.49 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Eagles | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Commanders | 39c | 1,170$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.73 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Commanders | 29c | 1,028$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Eagles | 71c | 1,028$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.52 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Commanders | 21c | 1,028$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Eagles | 68c | 999.97$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.64 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Commanders | 42c | 955.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.05 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Commanders | 38c | 874.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.89 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Eagles | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Commanders | 12c | 781.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.34 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Eagles | 75c | 763.24$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.62 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Eagles | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Eagles | 68c | 702.64$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Eagles | 75c | 699.99$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.99 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Eagles | 68c | 695.77$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.13 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Commanders | 33c | 695.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.69 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Eagles | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…4810backed Commanders | 15c | 677.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…6153backed Eagles | 64c | 655.04$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6239backed Commanders | 36c | 655$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Eagles | 79c | 649.8$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Commanders | 32c | 644.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Commanders | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.58 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Commanders | 29c | 627.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.17 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.