NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9fb67bc679188245e49ca13a599ad1588a3c4242a98c5bee263c2ed9181847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Heat, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 37c | 35,142$12,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,850.41 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Bucks | 69c | 25,000$17,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 68c | 24,260$16,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,831.31 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 31c | 17,928$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 40c | 11,180$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.02 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Bucks | 74c | 9,097$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 29c | 9,048$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.26 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Heat | 30c | 6,873$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.72 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bucks | 71c | 6,855$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.04 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 44c | 6,479$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.25 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Bucks | 60c | 6,011$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.78 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bucks | 72c | 6,000$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 28c | 5,645$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bucks | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Heat | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Heat | 29c | 3,613$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.73 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bucks | 66c | 2,982$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.66 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 65c | 2,831$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.39 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Bucks | 75c | 2,690$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Heat | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 18c | 1,955$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 50c | 1,926$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.13 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 1,857$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 1,777$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Bucks | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…c4d0backed Bucks | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Bucks | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Heat | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,345$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…11cdbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,267$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 37c | 1,254$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.04 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked Heat | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Heat | 51c | 1,187$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.36 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Heat | 30c | 1,184$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.12 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 71c | 1,166$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 26c | 1,068$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Bucks | 71c | 1,018$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Heat | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Bucks | 58c | 930.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Heat | 30c | 894.34$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 50c | 883.99$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 11c | 880.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks | 66c | 874.65$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.65 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Heat | 29c | 846$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…b156backed Bucks | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 2c | 770$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Heat | 27c | 717$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 71c | 715.81$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Heat | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Bucks | 72c | 699.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bucks | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Heat | 27c | 668.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 66c | 648.64$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…69e3backed Heat | 29c | 635$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 29c | 623.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Heat | 33c | 610.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 27c | 608$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Heat | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 29c | 500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Heat | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 27c | 496$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Bucks | 60c | 493.42$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Heat | 52c | 484.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 38c | 470.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Bucks | 70c | 428.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 33c | 428.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bucks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Heat | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Bucks | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Bucks | 71c | 391$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 28c | 387.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Heat | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 69c | 374.75$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…4935backed Heat | 33c | 367.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Bucks | 72c | 359.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Bucks | 70c | 355.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Heat | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Heat | 23c | 343$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Heat | 30c | 333.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…4fdabacked Heat | 43c | 331$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed2…3faabacked Bucks | 72c | 320$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bucks | 72c | 319.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bucks | 71c | 317.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4082…2ee3backed Bucks | 72c | 315$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Bucks | 71c | 300.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Heat | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Heat | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Heat | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 28c | 299.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.