TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah36c6,666$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.8335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Avalanche60c4,418$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.212245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e6…5b30backed Utah44c3,850$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5c…aa03backed Avalanche56c2,999$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah39c2,205$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Avalanche60c1,670$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8619438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Avalanche78c1,260$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Utah45c1,179$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.777549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Avalanche61c1,141$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1123761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Avalanche56c1,105$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah43c1,074$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.751,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Utah45c1,015$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Utah41c898.29$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2219150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Utah3c850$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche57c838.3$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.9291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Utah46c708.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Avalanche58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Utah43c652.35$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Avalanche79c634.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.845660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked Avalanche55c584.96$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.231450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Utah44c579.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick41cpaid+123.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c37…3265backed Avalanche56c512.52$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah44c503.18$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Utah48c500.73$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche57c488.35$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Avalanche61c484.61$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1896149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche58c469.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.761,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Utah21c445.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.658950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Avalanche56c416.76$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.371580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf27d…51b7backed Utah44c416.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18872448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Avalanche55c340.02$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.616050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaed…de05backed Avalanche56c338.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Avalanche60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.336953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Avalanche60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Utah46c332.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah44c287.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.154349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche54c286.16$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b72…b462backed Avalanche56c267.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah5c264$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.517450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d71…1038backed Avalanche56c258.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Utah48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ac5…d509backed Utah44c244.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Utah44c228.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1711445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Utah44c228.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Utah44c222.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3223144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Utah31c219.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Utah39c213.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.375743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…b17bbacked Avalanche56c201.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.841478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+49.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd10a…e188backed Utah44c201.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfdb…8aabbacked Utah44c191.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah43c189$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Utah18c187.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…25ecbacked Utah44c184.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Avalanche58c181.76$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5715456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c42backed Utah44c177.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12c…a8abbacked Utah44c173.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Utah44c172$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.119647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Utah44c172$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.14839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Utah44c172$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.147249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4842…f97ebacked Avalanche56c155.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah42c149.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.661,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc52c…92d6backed Avalanche55c142.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9562…197dbacked Avalanche56c140.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…41e7backed Avalanche56c130.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Avalanche58c125.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.765347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5673157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Avalanche55c124.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5448654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf196…00fbbacked Avalanche58c120.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.312236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed Avalanche74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc00a…1a53backed Avalanche57c112.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb498…335bbacked Utah45c112.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0526…c09bbacked Avalanche56c108.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52cb…4d2bbacked Utah45c107.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd57…c7e2backed Utah44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Utah39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.83040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Utah43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Utah44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…6b34backed Utah45c99.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Avalanche50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.177532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Avalanche59c98.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9313241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Avalanche55c95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7534032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Utah45c94.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.742045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa47…552bbacked Avalanche57c92.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Avalanche55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa17f…9ef2backed Utah43c90.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d25…dbfcbacked Utah37c90.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Utah23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa13…8b70backed Avalanche58c86.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea0…0467backed Avalanche62c86.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.912642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Utah41c86.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3513655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Avalanche59c84.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.186959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…6c5abacked Avalanche57c78.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…7a4bbacked Avalanche57c77.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.191181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.