NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7a2f4257f0b500dc49c24f6c95c9c44ee8a82d9961d5727a3572682212c516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 0c | 21,088$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 74c | 9,308$6,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 8,808$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.7 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 77c | 8,445$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 8,142$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,445.57 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 5,700$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 1c | 5,350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Heat | 79c | 4,516$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.65 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Heat | 2c | 4,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 4,023$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.96 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Heat | 80c | 4,008$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.48 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 3,834$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.12 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 27c | 3,613$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Heat | 79c | 3,561$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.18 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 3,345$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.41 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Heat | 80c | 3,256$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 47c | 3,218$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Heat | 0c | 2,999$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 2,940$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.56 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 78c | 2,881$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 2,729$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…f093backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,600$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 2,553$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Heat | 0c | 2,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 2,325$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 2,107$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Heat | 77c | 2,000$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.96 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 51c | 1,992$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.69 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,848$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.62 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 1c | 1,761$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…1845backed Heat | 56c | 1,719$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,707$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.78 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Heat | 73c | 1,677$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 76c | 1,644$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.41 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 1,587$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.86 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Heat | 79c | 1,518$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Heat | 79c | 1,450$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.59 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,387$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.69 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Trail Blazers | 76c | 1,303$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,249$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.48 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,185$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.57 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Heat | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 1,036$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.42 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,031$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.69 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…2950backed Heat | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 900$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 826.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.44 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Heat | 65c | 817.17$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.29 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 46c | 793.59$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 783.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.2 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 79c | 702$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.58 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…fd2dbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 697$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 680.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Heat | 78c | 629.87$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Heat | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 624.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Heat | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 78c | 573$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 561.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.11 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 540.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 69c | 534.77$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.9 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 526.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 526.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.33 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 512.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Heat | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.32 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 499.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Heat | 77c | 438$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 420$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Heat | 24c | 417.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Heat | 71c | 410.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 400$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 392.86$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Heat | 48c | 376.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.21 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…b006backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 368.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 358.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 356.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 12c | 350.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Heat | 74c | 345$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 339.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 330$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 328.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…09d9backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 318.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…35fbbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 304.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…776cbacked Heat | 80c | 296.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 294.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…4c35backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 289.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Heat | 72c | 283$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Heat | 77c | 280.32$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…7884backed Heat | 39c | 269.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…03a4backed Heat | 80c | 267.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 78c | 255.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 253.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.