TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Jets, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c3,300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4e…4facbacked Jets34c3,096$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd67…4123backed Avalanche66c2,999$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Jets42c2,380$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0120345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche63c2,142$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche64c1,376$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche56c1,285$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.2692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jets36c1,219$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche60c789.5$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jets35c569.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets2c533$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.667450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jets36c468.03$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.499747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Avalanche65c417$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.959153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Jets36c360$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jets33c332.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.892842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche66c301.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.449861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Jets35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche62c299.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.991,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Avalanche67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5124347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jets45c272.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets39c256.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche63c240.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Jets39c238.46$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9318136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Avalanche64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Jets36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Jets38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.85750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38a2…a2e8backed Jets37c150.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche59c143.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Jets36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Jets44c137.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Avalanche66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Jets37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.15347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Avalanche64c109$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ab…28d4backed Jets39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Jets39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3934032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Jets34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…7240backed Avalanche66c96.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Jets42c94.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Jets36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets34c87.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Avalanche64c87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Avalanche63c78.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9122246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Jets26c74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be4…282fbacked Avalanche65c71.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad8…0b3abacked Jets40c66.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Jets36c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.257660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Avalanche75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Jets36c59.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3148654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…9592backed Avalanche62c57.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x961f…0708backed Jets35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc248…4c0abacked Jets34c54.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche47c54.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8748…e4d8backed Jets35c51.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf276…9a2ebacked Avalanche48c49.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…7be7backed Jets35c48.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8c…9260backed Avalanche65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7af…0380backed Jets37c45.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc708…05bebacked Avalanche67c45.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c3…d16cbacked Avalanche49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e3…b96cbacked Jets51c44.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d9…5d7cbacked Avalanche65c41.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9037…34afbacked Jets41c40.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13ed…89f4backed Avalanche57c40.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Avalanche67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4017…2d67backed Jets34c39.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb30c…f2d0backed Jets40c39.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche64c39.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a58…6f1bbacked Jets40c39.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Avalanche64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…aaeebacked Avalanche57c38.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9caf…0f3abacked Jets37c38.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9479…9ca9backed Jets40c38.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3977…5f76backed Avalanche57c37.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3f3…ef12backed Jets38c37.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dd…772bbacked Jets38c37.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c8…9126backed Jets38c36.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb649…22d7backed Jets38c36.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff27…2f37backed Avalanche65c36.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f8…54c1backed Avalanche62c36.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x446c…8cc9backed Jets41c36.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9654backed Jets38c36.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d2…9268backed Avalanche62c36.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd336…672ebacked Avalanche62c36.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f3…943cbacked Jets38c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62b…e085backed Avalanche62c35.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c5…8e21backed Avalanche65c35.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…3f9bbacked Jets38c35.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfa…1777backed Jets40c35.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf24…101fbacked Avalanche66c34.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013b…a5b3backed Jets43c34.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb851…457abacked Jets34c34.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…710abacked Jets38c34.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5912…74a2backed Avalanche65c34.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.