Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220945943304042c4cc4a68fad935f07f17f104437fa1e137e8c91a4ee8a7c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 34c | 22,220$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,569.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 33c | 20,710$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,876.02 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes | 67c | 18,977$12,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,658 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 66c | 8,497$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.99 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 36c | 3,648$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.76 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 3,050$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.53 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…b0a4backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.97 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed Yes | 67c | 2,884$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 66c | 1,700$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 66c | 1,351$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 1,330$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.12 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…da75backed Yes | 71c | 1,199$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Yes | 69c | 1,027$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…6d8cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Yes | 65c | 999.96$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed No | 33c | 999.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 67c | 944.28$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.67 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 69c | 924.53$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 35c | 823.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 34c | 749.88$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.92 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 35c | 686.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.13 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 65c | 584$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Yes | 67c | 515.93$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…a487backed Yes | 66c | 506.83$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 66c | 451.77$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 31c | 423.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 17c | 379.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.39 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 77c | 360.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.81 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 32c | 296.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 79c | 295.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 18c | 270.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked No | 38c | 259.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 32c | 259.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…06d3backed Yes | 67c | 250.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 67c | 239.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 234.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 31c | 226.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 32c | 217.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 11c | 205.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…45e1backed Yes | 68c | 188.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 67c | 144.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…16b5backed Yes | 66c | 138.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 32c | 134.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 67c | 125.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…b609backed No | 33c | 124.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Yes | 68c | 120.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…baacbacked Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 52c | 114.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed No | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 67c | 100.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 31c | 99.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…aa8abacked Yes | 66c | 96.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Yes | 79c | 95.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Yes | 67c | 91.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…f9a4backed Yes | 68c | 89.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 79c | 82.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 31c | 81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…956fbacked Yes | 67c | 78.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 67c | 75.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…ae5dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…39b7backed Yes | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…ae55backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 36c | 69.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…d7f7backed Yes | 70c | 68.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…80dfbacked No | 34c | 66.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.