Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6fab4f71c311ed201930e6181cb1e3fbd2cea295e13024c5e19c7bb6869f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 5,087$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 4,843$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.52 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,769$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.72 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 46c | 1,383$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.44 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…3601backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ac2fbacked Yes | 15c | 499.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +302.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…5203backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ce…2ef0backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 16c | 94.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…a691backed Yes | 16c | 63.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +536.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.