NFL · resolved market
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1cc260d14196274e3bda3b976a451a56e2800167576a049c12cccdbec9e743a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,965,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,642,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,965,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 1,116,027$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.62 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 218,424$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…8e59backed Yes | 3c | 216,539$5,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…f48ebacked Yes | 0c | 169,394$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 150,903$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…bb02backed Yes | 1c | 83,554$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…56aabacked Yes | 0c | 57,825$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9da0backed Yes | 0c | 51,700$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 0c | 50,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423a…4f1dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…7f25backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…0a4cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,333$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…aa7dbacked Yes | 0c | 47,032$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…5674backed Yes | 0c | 46,350$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…bf03backed Yes | 0c | 44,797$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…af0ebacked Yes | 0c | 41,032$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,901$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…4422backed Yes | 0c | 37,113$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…ffabbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 27,750$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Yes | 5c | 26,056$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 26,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…d421backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…d496backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb222…fe5bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…3743backed Yes | 0c | 21,718$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…b894backed Yes | 0c | 19,455$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…c3b0backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked Yes | 4c | 17,001$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…29fcbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…8ac9backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 6c | 16,406$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.45 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…1a74backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553c…9c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…ac5cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,667$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…51babacked Yes | 0c | 13,708$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…83a3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…06e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,880$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…1491backed Yes | 0c | 10,275$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Yes | 5c | 9,848$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Yes | 4c | 9,649$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…a323backed Yes | 0c | 8,930$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 8,853$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d06…f09bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,667$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17d…832cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,570$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 7,300$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 5c | 7,164$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…a83ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,980$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,944$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…3c71backed Yes | 0c | 6,873$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…c265backed Yes | 0c | 6,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 0c | 6,403$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…b37abacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…ea0fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,762$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…86e6backed Yes | 0c | 5,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…d1dbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…43cdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 3c | 3,923$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda3e…f4b2backed Yes | 2c | 3,865$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,417$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 3,343$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…9a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,334$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 2c | 3,288$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…aa44backed Yes | 5c | 3,199$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Yes | 3c | 3,110$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Yes | 4c | 3,103$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…0ce0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 3c | 2,452$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,384$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,930$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…1c79backed Yes | 5c | 1,871$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 3c | 1,602$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…eae3backed Yes | 4c | 1,112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,047$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Yes | 5c | 972.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 2c | 820.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 8c | 726.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…850ebacked Yes | 4c | 675.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 622.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…be73backed Yes | 2c | 559.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 5c | 525.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…21a1backed Yes | 2c | 523.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +747.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…a930backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 3c | 361.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 4c | 318$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 6c | 309$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.