NFL · resolved market
Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4826f32905e69f19993cd84e180881c85671d1f9e1a4301f0dafc9c72edc46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,298,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,298,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 125,176$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 93,338$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,131$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 47,223$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…44cebacked Yes | 0c | 41,857$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e0…1fe8backed Yes | 0c | 41,621$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 33,973$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…fbb8backed Yes | 0c | 29,391$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…4331backed Yes | 0c | 28,631$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…211abacked Yes | 0c | 27,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…4992backed Yes | 0c | 26,036$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…0177backed Yes | 0c | 26,031$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 3c | 25,513$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.88 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes | 0c | 25,028$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 25,021$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes | 0c | 25,016$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 24,154$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 0c | 24,150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…3811backed Yes | 0c | 24,145$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…8d73backed Yes | 0c | 22,892$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Yes | 6c | 20,856$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…3405backed Yes | 0c | 19,921$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…d21ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,921$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 18,867$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…5adabacked Yes | 0c | 18,360$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…f5f5backed Yes | 0c | 17,660$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…1b19backed Yes | 0c | 17,360$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…f82fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,971$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…ae61backed Yes | 0c | 16,921$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 16,887$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…bd26backed Yes | 0c | 16,872$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…cd99backed Yes | 0c | 16,867$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…abd8backed Yes | 0c | 16,542$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 16,330$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…40c9backed Yes | 0c | 15,921$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…6febbacked Yes | 0c | 15,921$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…0b0dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,921$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…0932backed Yes | 0c | 15,879$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…79a2backed Yes | 0c | 15,879$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d6…a916backed Yes | 0c | 14,904$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 13,494$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 11,689$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…d50ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,444$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…6aafbacked Yes | 0c | 11,122$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…a4d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,452$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e1…6ed0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…bbadbacked Yes | 0c | 9,553$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…5a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,136$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…1a6fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,948$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…d92ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,619$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…5e85backed Yes | 0c | 8,296$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…72ffbacked Yes | 0c | 7,925$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…b481backed Yes | 0c | 7,925$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…cd90backed Yes | 0c | 7,770$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…fd30backed Yes | 0c | 7,312$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…fd18backed Yes | 0c | 6,735$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…df86backed Yes | 0c | 6,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7af…1641backed Yes | 0c | 6,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…b12dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 7c | 5,797$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…d8babacked Yes | 0c | 5,748$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…4783backed Yes | 0c | 5,228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…6249backed Yes | 0c | 4,767$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…ca94backed Yes | 0c | 4,404$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…cf21backed Yes | 0c | 4,403$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…5900backed Yes | 0c | 4,259$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…eef6backed Yes | 0c | 3,818$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,755$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…cf42backed Yes | 0c | 3,404$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,303$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…eb38backed Yes | 6c | 1,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,562$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…8bf4backed Yes | 1c | 1,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…a98fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…bc98backed Yes | 1c | 1,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…87e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 1,057$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked Yes | 6c | 767$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 5c | 703.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Yes | 9c | 403.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.