TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,448,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$872,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,448,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c234,974$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.471014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c175,942$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.881769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c117,732$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.352430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d01…8f2fbacked Yes0c110,705$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes0c99,800$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477e…b646backed Yes0c86,434$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c79,083$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.17170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a3…30f8backed Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3522…9781backed Yes0c61,000$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ad…68bebacked Yes0c55,290$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…6819backed Yes0c55,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1000…b1a2backed Yes0c54,294$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb782…70c0backed Yes0c54,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1530…7bf0backed Yes0c53,200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7422…3376backed Yes0c52,125$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a5…01d4backed Yes0c52,125$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a45…32d9backed Yes0c50,841$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23f…bbadbacked Yes0c50,684$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…d84abacked Yes0c50,325$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…c97abacked Yes0c48,994$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c39,999$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57eb…f175backed Yes0c33,999$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f36…5adabacked Yes0c32,276$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.55812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…69a3backed Yes1c30,104$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564d…57c7backed Yes0c27,625$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0067…6985backed Yes0c23,270$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd262…1c9abacked Yes0c23,265$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7523…f9b0backed Yes0c23,265$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0b…186abacked Yes0c23,254$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c22,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-91.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e1…3743backed Yes0c21,660$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2276…1c21backed Yes0c21,657$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb0…ec93backed Yes0c19,432$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb6b…9c6ebacked Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b41…81a9backed Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a06…37e3backed Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e09…9aa3backed Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc295…2995backed Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7b…5536backed Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc622…5a76backed Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb4…98fabacked Yes0c19,427$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e16…29d7backed Yes0c19,421$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c32…7918backed Yes0c19,421$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f041backed Yes0c19,421$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ff…1283backed Yes0c19,416$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b3…6423backed Yes0c19,416$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6847…c47bbacked Yes0c19,416$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc18…3360backed Yes0c19,416$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f49…ee25backed Yes0c19,416$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…7f02backed Yes0c18,556$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf398…b14abacked Yes0c18,333$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3b…7d25backed Yes0c18,060$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c63…c3a2backed Yes0c17,600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0811…bd26backed Yes0c17,264$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.26100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f46…b560backed Yes0c16,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eda…3714backed Yes0c16,600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3481…0dfebacked Yes0c15,644$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd333…b6a2backed Yes0c15,589$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…05b9backed Yes0c15,578$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb66…b0cbbacked Yes0c15,400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…8f86backed Yes0c15,374$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c3…155ebacked Yes0c15,262$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ca…9975backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f09…b474backed Yes0c14,139$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ce…3811backed Yes0c13,437$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes0c13,437$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes0c13,432$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes0c13,432$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.431010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-86.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f16…35e0backed Yes0c13,417$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…88c6backed Yes0c13,385$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd9…339cbacked Yes0c13,380$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes0c13,313$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f95…cd99backed Yes0c13,308$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb008…1b17backed Yes0c13,282$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b8…d464backed Yes0c13,260$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe215…2b3dbacked Yes0c13,257$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e25…568cbacked Yes0c13,250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269d…0044backed Yes0c13,220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d2…3f6dbacked Yes0c13,220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7637…e097backed Yes0c13,210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8b…a9f3backed Yes0c13,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2854…fb9ebacked Yes0c13,197$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98a…b6e3backed Yes0c13,189$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…b527backed Yes0c13,180$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeca…97adbacked Yes0c13,172$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ff…704bbacked Yes0c13,167$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4605…c7b2backed Yes0c13,167$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aca…c548backed Yes0c13,100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2556…4f3bbacked Yes0c13,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70bf…8062backed Yes0c12,940$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3e…e531backed Yes0c12,914$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes0c11,395$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a9…81cabacked Yes0c10,513$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbab…1927backed Yes0c10,413$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d3…f13abacked Yes0c10,413$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d2…b747backed Yes0c10,251$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef6…3c52backed Yes0c10,119$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9d…6e3ebacked Yes0c10,101$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6a…a628backed Yes0c10,040$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20342.9%1 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-78.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.