NFL · resolved market
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64300d0e8784825451fc7832a2cbdecb34de8baf54d7066f2bd7ac3c241ff1e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,958,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,324,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,958,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22f8…1472backed Yes | 0c | 16,884,375$33,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,768.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae6…0f1bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,731,688$33,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,463.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 236,073$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 105,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 0c | 79,357$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 65,530$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…9a5abacked Yes | 0c | 64,934$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…f031backed Yes | 0c | 64,884$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…a568backed Yes | 0c | 63,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…f5f5backed Yes | 0c | 62,364$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…eff6backed Yes | 0c | 54,768$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a3…fc0abacked Yes | 0c | 46,834$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…dfafbacked Yes | 0c | 36,190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…1b53backed Yes | 0c | 35,074$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…70dcbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b170backed Yes | 0c | 33,726$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…05e2backed Yes | 0c | 30,242$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…25a0backed Yes | 0c | 28,655$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…211abacked Yes | 0c | 27,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…b2bfbacked Yes | 0c | 26,229$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…dc1dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,146$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…c271backed Yes | 0c | 26,135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afb…3697backed Yes | 0c | 26,129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…bdacbacked Yes | 0c | 26,129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…6b0bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,121$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…5adabacked Yes | 0c | 25,780$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…1638backed Yes | 0c | 23,563$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…dbdebacked Yes | 0c | 22,487$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…8042backed Yes | 0c | 21,391$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…12c1backed Yes | 0c | 21,279$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…904ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,462$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…f567backed Yes | 0c | 18,630$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…21d0backed Yes | 0c | 18,213$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…ef74backed Yes | 0c | 18,199$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…11cdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,907$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…5976backed Yes | 0c | 16,714$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60e…44dabacked Yes | 0c | 16,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…029ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…3051backed Yes | 0c | 15,293$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…53e6backed Yes | 0c | 14,711$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…afa3backed Yes | 0c | 13,733$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…decdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,884$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…0a06backed Yes | 0c | 12,593$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 0c | 12,415$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…de6dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…d70bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,765$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 0c | 11,052$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…64e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,963$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,540$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…4fdcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…958cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…710bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…47a4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 0c | 9,820$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…acc4backed Yes | 0c | 9,349$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…3f75backed Yes | 0c | 7,875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ce…ce16backed Yes | 0c | 7,180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,998$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…4783backed Yes | 0c | 5,228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9134backed Yes | 0c | 4,770$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8094…1665backed Yes | 0c | 4,180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2531…9f0cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…ffd5backed Yes | 1c | 1,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…be73backed Yes | 1c | 1,488$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.