NFL · resolved market
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x270d51ab499f6306b222d442811a566d054e194c4ddf9b1de0e3ade7246a7058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,852,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,810,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,852,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 838,722$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.11 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 1c | 215,891$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.92 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 1c | 158,562$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 142,417$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.41 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…3c96backed Yes | 0c | 134,610$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 0c | 69,583$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc95…030fbacked Yes | 1c | 67,100$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…f2fcbacked Yes | 0c | 59,381$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes | 0c | 57,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +4,066.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…0ceebacked Yes | 1c | 56,697$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…7a3ebacked Yes | 1c | 54,201$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 51,077$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…d496backed Yes | 0c | 48,743$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…cd39backed Yes | 1c | 46,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 0c | 42,320$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…354dbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 32,703$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 31,000$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…1900backed Yes | 0c | 22,570$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…f92abacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…3c85backed Yes | 1c | 19,940$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,756$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…b560backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…06e1backed Yes | 0c | 16,317$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 0c | 15,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8d50backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…b4d8backed Yes | 0c | 11,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,447$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…af0ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…7e50backed Yes | 0c | 10,667$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf266…5055backed Yes | 1c | 10,083$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…5de1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Yes | 1c | 9,947$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…c79ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…95d9backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…e105backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…abc2backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 7,864$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.69 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…ba2ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf0…726ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e9…0948backed Yes | 1c | 7,078$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…41b6backed Yes | 1c | 6,938$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603b…7e65backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…aae9backed Yes | 1c | 6,647$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 11c | 6,574$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.34 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a7…2adabacked Yes | 0c | 6,333$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Yes | 1c | 6,254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 6,248$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 12c | 5,870$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.87 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 5c | 5,336$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.23 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…2c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…6816backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…de17backed Yes | 4c | 4,998$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…1f59backed Yes | 1c | 4,986$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…5ac2backed Yes | 0c | 4,750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 4,526$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2550…ea63backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 4c | 4,478$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…6078backed Yes | 0c | 4,290$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…6eb4backed Yes | 3c | 4,133$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b93…8a25backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…e0ebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…77bdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Yes | 5c | 3,675$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,650$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…cad6backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449a…1507backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 3c | 3,489$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…061fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…7675backed Yes | 15c | 2,943$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…7a8bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,834$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…7c0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…8e59backed Yes | 4c | 2,570$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,437$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Yes | 4c | 2,366$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…4f0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,203$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…7b3abacked Yes | 1c | 2,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…3758backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…8c25backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…31b5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…34dabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 7c | 1,999$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…6361backed Yes | 8c | 1,949$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…c624backed Yes | 4c | 1,846$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…a862backed Yes | 3c | 1,370$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,268$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…3ecbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.