NFL · resolved market
Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f4c9ed4a7277a22c7f863070842442be599f839ab0f1e72a130e6a8eee21e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,658,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,658,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 280,111$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 144,035$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes | 0c | 70,490$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…e0ecbacked Yes | 0c | 53,619$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…a837backed Yes | 0c | 53,619$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…3871backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…7e11backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…e82cbacked Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…8552backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…de8ebacked Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…4e84backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…accfbacked Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…e9bfbacked Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8f9bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…af44backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…dad2backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…b50abacked Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…e185backed Yes | 0c | 53,523$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…4a0fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…efb8backed Yes | 0c | 53,433$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1b…816cbacked Yes | 0c | 53,433$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 52,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…a933backed Yes | 0c | 50,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…fe56backed Yes | 0c | 47,360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…33c3backed Yes | 0c | 47,360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…f5a4backed Yes | 0c | 47,360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…00cbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,974$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d7d2backed Yes | 0c | 46,921$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…a15ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,884$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…8761backed Yes | 0c | 46,854$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…1bb6backed Yes | 0c | 46,854$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…bda7backed Yes | 0c | 46,682$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e755backed Yes | 0c | 46,508$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…fd97backed Yes | 0c | 41,866$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,842$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…93aebacked Yes | 0c | 35,520$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01e…9504backed Yes | 0c | 35,520$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…2e2bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,520$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…da49backed Yes | 0c | 35,520$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…2087backed Yes | 0c | 35,520$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…0a06backed Yes | 0c | 35,295$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…3256backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 32,262$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…6aefbacked Yes | 0c | 29,113$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…3743backed Yes | 0c | 28,001$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…48f5backed Yes | 0c | 27,970$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…5d95backed Yes | 0c | 27,967$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…dfa0backed Yes | 0c | 27,967$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…6c45backed Yes | 0c | 27,900$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…bf57backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…3f91backed Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a3…1eb2backed Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…dcbcbacked Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8399…3425backed Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…dfd2backed Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…6eecbacked Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…ed44backed Yes | 0c | 23,680$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…cc48backed Yes | 0c | 20,970$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5f9bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,965$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…40e2backed Yes | 0c | 20,964$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…3a2abacked Yes | 0c | 20,939$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…51afbacked Yes | 0c | 20,903$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…6c23backed Yes | 0c | 20,903$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe218…24e0backed Yes | 0c | 20,871$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…2f27backed Yes | 0c | 20,836$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d1…3c84backed Yes | 0c | 20,836$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…46a1backed Yes | 0c | 20,576$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…04d0backed Yes | 0c | 20,576$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…a6aabacked Yes | 0c | 20,576$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2989…d070backed Yes | 0c | 20,369$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8391…c8bebacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc1…47afbacked Yes | 0c | 16,098$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…3c27backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…d749backed Yes | 0c | 13,969$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…7634backed Yes | 0c | 13,936$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…237abacked Yes | 0c | 13,869$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…3514backed Yes | 0c | 13,786$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffd…7471backed Yes | 0c | 13,786$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…2154backed Yes | 0c | 13,786$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…0b91backed Yes | 0c | 13,786$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…14d5backed Yes | 0c | 13,579$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e830backed Yes | 0c | 12,714$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…603abacked Yes | 0c | 12,099$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…777ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,840$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…12efbacked Yes | 0c | 11,840$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…0676backed Yes | 0c | 11,840$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…f04abacked Yes | 0c | 11,494$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…7a3ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…ad89backed Yes | 0c | 10,803$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…704fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,087$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…fa3bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,070$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…354dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…3c52backed Yes | 0c | 9,561$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df1…bf04backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 8,766$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…48c1backed Yes | 0c | 8,447$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…bb1cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,406$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…6309backed Yes | 0c | 8,371$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
- Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
- Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.