NFL · resolved market

Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa781c5233dc3dba624ae1cf3b1ed47abd04d3a8b1823870e9cbfc2ca9ea86e3b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,838,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,378,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,838,730 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	0c	1,072,701$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.7	101	4%4 W · 97 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-87.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes	0c	77,904$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.52	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x957f…4c7bbacked Yes	0c	66,000$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes	0c	59,722$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.73	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x434f…be39backed Yes	0c	57,500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	54,177$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.02	243	0.8%2 W · 241 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb172…b0dbbacked Yes	0c	52,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4848…8e19backed Yes	0c	50,500$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d18…5d9bbacked Yes	0c	50,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb385…1c27backed Yes	0c	48,000$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	0c	40,593$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.59	73	4.1%3 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd3…6b51backed Yes	0c	38,620$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e1…d496backed Yes	0c	36,204$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…12c1backed Yes	0c	33,996$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed Yes	1c	33,511$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.36	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+6.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+98.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b00…dce8backed Yes	0c	33,000$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	0c	25,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3c…8e8dbacked Yes	0c	24,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedaa…2f33backed Yes	1c	23,172$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.55	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab5…e2b7backed Yes	0c	19,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63fc…a7b4backed Yes	0c	19,440$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes	7c	17,575$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.28	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	6c	16,532$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.31	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3809…7c7dbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7adc…e3edbacked Yes	1c	13,786$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac60…aa7dbacked Yes	0c	12,231$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…9989backed Yes	0c	12,190$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdb…51babacked Yes	0c	12,183$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa607…3181backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…e090backed Yes	0c	10,500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa111…e105backed Yes	0c	10,401$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x64fa…380fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes	4c	9,100$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.88	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004c…ab9bbacked Yes	0c	9,096$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	0c	9,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes	11c	8,479$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.64	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	4c	8,433$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.31	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	7,864$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.45	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5174…45e9backed Yes	3c	7,246$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.25	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ed…ce35backed Yes	3c	6,983$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.14	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	2c	6,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.5	106	1.9%2 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes	13c	5,146$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.57	162	59.9%97 W · 65 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36a…56cabacked Yes	0c	5,050$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…e019backed Yes	0c	5,010$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	87	29.9%26 W · 61 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d18…9a5ebacked Yes	1c	3,337$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes	1c	3,002$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	2c	2,881$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.96	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Yes	3c	2,881$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	227	45.4%103 W · 124 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes	1c	2,645$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16d8…9894backed Yes	3c	2,500$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…32ccbacked Yes	2c	2,310$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…4ac2backed Yes	3c	2,300$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes	11c	2,250$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.45	202	46%93 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes	14c	2,088$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c00…5d94backed Yes	6c	2,045$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.03	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b32…ddaabacked Yes	9c	1,759$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9d…af3fbacked Yes	1c	1,654$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9e…a146backed Yes	1c	1,642$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88e7…d3c7backed Yes	1c	1,524$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bca…2857backed Yes	1c	1,423$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2072…1201backed Yes	3c	1,100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…377dbacked Yes	15c	1,053$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes	12c	1,000$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	139	42.4%59 W · 80 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes	11c	901.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	28%14 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…936bbacked Yes	8c	872$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes	3c	854.52$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a90…265dbacked Yes	3c	800$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	5c	766.63$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.02	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8259…bd18backed Yes	29c	690.87$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.1	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4809…9e7bbacked Yes	12c	621.9$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3418…a645backed Yes	8c	619$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1027…3758backed Yes	5c	547.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes	5c	545.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Yes	14c	444$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.27	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61b…f888backed Yes	8c	440$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes	10c	438.31$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.69	74	9.5%7 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ce…e4dabacked Yes	2c	431.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330d…6174backed Yes	12c	417.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d03…aee3backed Yes	4c	416.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff72…aeeebacked Yes	12c	400$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b8…8860backed Yes	13c	384.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Yes	13c	374.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	286	59.4%170 W · 116 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…8742backed Yes	12c	355$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.97	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes	5c	349.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	247	38.1%94 W · 153 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7a…6524backed Yes	13c	317.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x66f5…0dc2backed Yes	8c	310$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Yes	7c	306.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaa9…90edbacked Yes	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b90…0c30backed Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3da…78b4backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33b4…9205backed Yes	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ece…f739backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf441…6794backed Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb764…e85dbacked Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca48…f312backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?this page
Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes won
Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No won
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event