TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d24…c2bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT14749.7%73 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$9.41
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$31.83
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.56
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.19
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.92
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.15
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$14
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.38
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.59
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$27.52
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$29.37
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.07
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+63.9%+$11.51
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+127.3%+$20.36
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+100%+$13
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+117.4%+$16.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$13
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.