MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8de78f5d91f48f16114a3ad081336098402107abc8d11057779d5e9139be60d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Brewers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 51c | 70,411$36,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,191.37 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Padres | 50c | 27,738$13,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 54c | 24,564$13,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,264.42 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 51c | 23,507$11,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,988.57 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 48c | 20,589$9,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,706.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Padres | 49c | 20,291$9,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,348.41 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 46c | 18,076$8,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,761.08 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 46c | 17,743$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,581.01 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 29c | 13,852$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 54c | 11,515$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 47c | 10,283$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.05 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 26c | 9,008$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 69c | 7,281$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.17 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Brewers | 52c | 6,011$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.53 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Brewers | 54c | 3,373$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Padres | 47c | 3,192$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.76 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers | 1c | 3,053$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 50c | 2,990$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.89 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 47c | 2,717$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Brewers | 54c | 2,711$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 2c | 2,277$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Brewers | 1c | 1,489$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 4c | 1,278$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Padres | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Padres | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 22c | 765.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Brewers | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 47c | 703.09$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.64 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Padres | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Padres | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 51c | 628$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 50c | 599.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Padres | 47c | 591$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Brewers | 4c | 555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Brewers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 50c | 474.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.47 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Padres | 50c | 394.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…4fe0backed Brewers | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Brewers | 53c | 294.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 47c | 294.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.89 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…f611backed Padres | 50c | 293.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Brewers | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Brewers | 30c | 258.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…5d29backed Brewers | 50c | 236.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Brewers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 10c | 219$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Padres | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 49c | 207.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 48c | 188$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 48c | 184.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…2cb2backed Brewers | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Brewers | 18c | 179.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Padres | 49c | 174$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres | 47c | 172.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…21ffbacked Brewers | 55c | 172.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Padres | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…8763backed Brewers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Brewers | 52c | 153.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Padres | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 45c | 140.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…5aa5backed Padres | 50c | 132.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Padres | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Padres | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Brewers | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Brewers | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…6e2abacked Padres | 50c | 103.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Brewers | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Padres | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…56d9backed Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8363…daadbacked Padres | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01df…f0eebacked Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…64e0backed Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…9daabacked Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Padres | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Brewers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Padres | 46c | 86.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Padres | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Padres | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Padres | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Padres | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Padres | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Brewers | 31c | 70.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.