TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Stars, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche49c1,698$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.8535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Avalanche57c1,618$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.356953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5650…8cbabacked Stars54c1,394$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars43c1,120$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.61,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Stars21c900.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7214949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche57c766.19$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Stars64c747.87$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche54c723.87$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars3c631.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.17450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Stars14c404.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.363333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb52…314abacked Stars20c350.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d0…ee28backed Stars46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a0…20a1backed Avalanche55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Avalanche54c320.03$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Stars14c241.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars47c225$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.751,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Avalanche55c210.91$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.913661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed Stars46c210.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973423.5%8 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Avalanche42c202.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3828542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Stars46c188.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.865648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Stars50c150.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.164146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Stars46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Stars47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4750049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Stars46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Stars47c96.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Stars17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche59c88.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.113,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Stars46c86.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.342751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Stars45c84.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2319150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…e592backed Stars40c84.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a63…4544backed Stars21c83.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Stars65c76.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011456.1%64 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Stars45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1547249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdad3…7044backed Stars46c48.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.431250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Avalanche54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche55c46.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57f…82cabacked Avalanche54c43.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abc…07b0backed Stars46c43.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3019…a309backed Stars46c42.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…7560backed Stars47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Stars47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…b31ebacked Stars47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c7e…9e69backed Stars46c40.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5434…1e01backed Avalanche54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…1b3cbacked Avalanche54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf22d…e35dbacked Stars46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x403d…cbfabacked Avalanche54c39.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90b3…75d4backed Stars46c39.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c4…732abacked Stars46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…b48bbacked Avalanche54c37.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Avalanche55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.368863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc394…8444backed Avalanche55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a93…fa08backed Stars44c36.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7393…09c8backed Avalanche56c36.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0c…0860backed Stars44c35.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Avalanche58c34.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.262360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f14…453dbacked Stars45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb389…6bf7backed Avalanche55c33.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+69.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bf0…aed7backed Stars45c33.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ab…c1fabacked Stars44c33.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…d6a4backed Avalanche56c33.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f3…1129backed Avalanche55c33.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Avalanche53c33.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb8…2f0ebacked Stars46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6940…5ee9backed Avalanche50c32.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1c…7a91backed Avalanche54c31.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb44f…e7b8backed Stars46c29.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa289…70e0backed Stars47c28.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b07…1a96backed Avalanche54c27.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e56…7106backed Avalanche54c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x547d…c6e8backed Avalanche45c27.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…c531backed Avalanche55c27.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Stars47c26.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.583729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc0…9f0bbacked Avalanche55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca7…63a7backed Avalanche54c25.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298a…8c31backed Avalanche56c24.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a0f…4e17backed Stars46c24.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a1…7d64backed Avalanche54c24.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0d…2f31backed Stars46c24.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked Avalanche54c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Stars72c24.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3319057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180e…568ebacked Stars46c23.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb95…91ddbacked Avalanche60c23.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…bc5fbacked Avalanche55c22.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b48…82dfbacked Avalanche55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.822445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf993…df37backed Avalanche55c21.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7183…dcc3backed Avalanche54c20.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec6…da6fbacked Avalanche60c20.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb0…f67bbacked Avalanche56c20.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946a…2ba0backed Avalanche55c20.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba8…ff39backed Avalanche55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d17…5e03backed Avalanche55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…5f01backed Avalanche54c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e61…197fbacked Avalanche57c19.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b5…fa8fbacked Avalanche60c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.