NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c43683825c58c5f8c73bf7b9fef07a999ea9b0f9c1aaf0293dcad27880de06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Flyers, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Flyers | 9c | 12,382$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.15 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 22c | 8,410$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.84 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Flyers | 15c | 6,647$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Red Wings | 52c | 3,095$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.9 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 27c | 3,024$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Flyers | 49c | 2,773$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Red Wings | 51c | 2,668$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Flyers | 48c | 2,614$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Red Wings | 51c | 2,607$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.44 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 12c | 2,510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Flyers | 7c | 2,039$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Flyers | 2c | 1,785$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 22c | 1,744$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.27 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Flyers | 15c | 1,550$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Flyers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Flyers | 12c | 1,326$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 4c | 1,074$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flyers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Flyers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Flyers | 51c | 976.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Red Wings | 53c | 976.71$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Flyers | 28c | 918.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Flyers | 67c | 875.95$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…36b0backed Flyers | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Red Wings | 50c | 799.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…0e63backed Flyers | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…e6a7backed Red Wings | 52c | 710.36$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Red Wings | 50c | 690.41$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 50c | 655.02$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.82 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…36e4backed Flyers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…e9eabacked Red Wings | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…0c1bbacked Red Wings | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…c8c7backed Flyers | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Flyers | 66c | 564.25$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Flyers | 50c | 559.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Red Wings | 42c | 549.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…9d76backed Flyers | 50c | 538.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Flyers | 37c | 531.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84a…f5afbacked Flyers | 11c | 530.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers | 50c | 516.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…b7fabacked Flyers | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…2cfabacked Flyers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Flyers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…f5e6backed Flyers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…efa0backed Red Wings | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…c402backed Red Wings | 54c | 488.52$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…4fbdbacked Red Wings | 53c | 456.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…e142backed Red Wings | 51c | 440$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…6eb3backed Red Wings | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…f062backed Red Wings | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…d0e9backed Red Wings | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb049…cc61backed Red Wings | 50c | 364.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…556ebacked Flyers | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…928abacked Flyers | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…e0b6backed Flyers | 50c | 348.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 47c | 340.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…0153backed Red Wings | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…d1abbacked Flyers | 49c | 320.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…d64dbacked Red Wings | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Flyers | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…cbe9backed Red Wings | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…a5d7backed Flyers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae93…67cbbacked Red Wings | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…4536backed Flyers | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560c…22ecbacked Red Wings | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Red Wings | 44c | 266.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Flyers | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Flyers | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 10c | 247.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…43e7backed Red Wings | 52c | 236.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…ff66backed Flyers | 50c | 235.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…102abacked Red Wings | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…5b81backed Flyers | 49c | 224.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08bc…0070backed Flyers | 51c | 223.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…b0c2backed Red Wings | 52c | 223.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…9fe3backed Red Wings | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…1341backed Flyers | 50c | 219.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d7ebbacked Red Wings | 51c | 216.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…a449backed Flyers | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…d9c2backed Red Wings | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…7795backed Red Wings | 52c | 214.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…8cf2backed Flyers | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Wings | 52c | 212.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…2d28backed Flyers | 50c | 212.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…f41cbacked Flyers | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…35d2backed Flyers | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…6a9abacked Red Wings | 52c | 212$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…bac0backed Red Wings | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad1…850dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5d8dbacked Flyers | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…1a3ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 210.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…25e9backed Flyers | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…fa99backed Flyers | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f2e3backed Flyers | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…2425backed Flyers | 50c | 209.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…b857backed Red Wings | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.