TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Flyers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21fc…f3d2backed Rangers58c29,507$17,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,363.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers39c20,804$8,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.0535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Flyers53c7,990$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.743650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Rangers48c5,643$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6801…9726backed Flyers41c3,690$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers52c2,999$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3698…1580backed Rangers59c2,890$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers3c2,500$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers60c1,668$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8427958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers40c1,566$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.31,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Rangers59c1,557$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.4810745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers40c1,512$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.3979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Flyers41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Flyers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Rangers41c888.93$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…70a7backed Rangers59c742.39$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Flyers28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers42c682.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.131,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flyers47c643.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Flyers28c625.4$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.114542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flyers40c625.21$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.541851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Rangers59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rangers59c599.98$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.994452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers57c511.12$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers41c505$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Rangers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Rangers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Flyers42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2203…6f7bbacked Flyers43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd1…e46ebacked Rangers59c355.93$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…de66backed Flyers41c340.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers40c316.85$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers53c270.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.343,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Rangers54c261.31$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3111644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Flyers25c254.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.665322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Rangers42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.211354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flyers44c229.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9547249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Rangers58c218.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8911951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Flyers6c209.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.697450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7737…e497backed Rangers66c202.52$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Rangers73c169.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Flyers44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0afe…528abacked Flyers43c122.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf04d…7d54backed Flyers42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019c…c38abacked Flyers43c118.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…d568backed Rangers60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c4…107cbacked Flyers43c110.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0670…19e1backed Flyers41c109.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Flyers41c97.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.219251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4eb…154bbacked Flyers43c93.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fc…a8babacked Rangers58c92.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52de…5a16backed Rangers58c87.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Rangers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flyers43c83.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…d370backed Rangers58c81.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Rangers58c80.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers40c79.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rangers58c79.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5819150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Flyers41c77.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.936149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9358…3063backed Rangers58c77.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f9…7e50backed Flyers42c76.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+87%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88e…e735backed Rangers58c76.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610c…f204backed Rangers58c76.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.024100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0566…7bfebacked Rangers58c76.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c1…d033backed Flyers43c74.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57f…82cabacked Rangers57c72.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Flyers43c70.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.263729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93c5…6132backed Rangers59c70.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a4…6302backed Rangers57c70.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked Rangers58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Flyers42c62.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce9…c8dabacked Rangers75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df7…94d6backed Flyers43c58.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd225…5c13backed Rangers60c57.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba44…ad5bbacked Flyers43c56.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d2…4ca0backed Flyers43c52.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers58c51.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d62…8ff6backed Flyers42c50.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Rangers63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.513846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Flyers43c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Flyers42c47.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1347…5503backed Flyers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…66a1backed Rangers59c46.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…131abacked Flyers41c44.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad2…fa39backed Flyers43c42.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa95…acfebacked Rangers56c42.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dda…e576backed Rangers56c41.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.094100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc476…dad4backed Flyers41c40.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03fd…58f3backed Flyers41c40.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…6bf9backed Rangers59c39.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…adb3backed Flyers43c39.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a3…09e6backed Flyers42c38.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4df…05dfbacked Rangers60c38.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdce8…c1afbacked Rangers61c38.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f0…fe0dbacked Flyers43c38.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffea…e095backed Flyers42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.