MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958f9851c7091dc9ddc9b48767e8778a07613f7ea3c34a8652e765af5c4263cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Mariners, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 63c | 14,228$8,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,917.77 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 37c | 12,967$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.58 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rays | 48c | 7,945$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.57 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mariners | 42c | 7,000$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.05 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rays | 48c | 6,195$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.27 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 61c | 6,029$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 43c | 3,902$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 42c | 3,422$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 52c | 3,209$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Mariners | 45c | 3,159$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rays | 48c | 3,021$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.83 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 42c | 2,568$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.92 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…dcb7backed Mariners | 51c | 2,186$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,581$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.45 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…aa49backed Rays | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rays | 47c | 1,531$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.37 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 57c | 1,521$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners | 38c | 1,509$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.13 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Rays | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.32 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mariners | 50c | 1,445$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.58 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mariners | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.16 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 50c | 1,339$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…38a9backed Rays | 49c | 1,207$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…8e12backed Mariners | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Mariners | 51c | 1,170$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…5d1dbacked Rays | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,131$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 47c | 1,120$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Rays | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Mariners | 41c | 967.85$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.66 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 50c | 870$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…c6f9backed Mariners | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 24c | 741.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 56c | 731.29$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 27c | 700$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…c2dfbacked Rays | 49c | 655$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 48c | 625.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 50c | 625$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 49c | 611.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 50c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.97 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rays | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 47c | 564.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.24 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Rays | 63c | 555.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mariners | 51c | 509$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mariners | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 59c | 498.41$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 52c | 447$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Mariners | 34c | 426.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 49c | 404.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Rays | 63c | 401$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 20c | 387.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Mariners | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Rays | 50c | 349.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 47c | 349.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 50c | 333.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Rays | 48c | 327.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 47c | 304.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Mariners | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Mariners | 52c | 268.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 38c | 262.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Mariners | 38c | 238.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rays | 62c | 231.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Mariners | 30c | 221.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rays | 67c | 220.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Rays | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Rays | 50c | 210.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rays | 68c | 208.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…726abacked Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rays | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…f177backed Rays | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Rays | 47c | 204.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 68c | 203.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Mariners | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Raysthis page
- Mariners vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.