MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4964b220b12621355fec232fdd9d2ac86c2cc0043440dbc69cfbafb1fa38dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Nationals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,157,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,365,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 34c | 701,045$241,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,837.71 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cubs | 66c | 152,198$100,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,747.32 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 65c | 148,135$96,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,847.33 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Cubs | 66c | 90,871$59,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,896.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 65c | 71,050$46,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,867.5 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 65c | 66,396$43,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,953.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cubs | 66c | 30,276$19,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,293.76 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 68c | 23,713$16,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.29 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 33c | 21,031$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,867.13 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 66c | 18,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cubs | 65c | 15,662$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Cubs | 66c | 11,995$7,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.44 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cubs | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 32c | 6,760$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.33 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Nationals | 35c | 5,368$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 69c | 5,292$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Nationals | 34c | 5,021$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 3c | 4,199$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 66c | 4,028$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.8 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Nationals | 33c | 3,864$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cubs | 70c | 3,592$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.55 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 67c | 3,584$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Cubs | 66c | 3,221$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a343backed Nationals | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 66c | 2,755$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 65c | 2,271$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.84 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 35c | 2,229$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.15 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nationals | 33c | 2,036$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.88 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 8c | 2,000$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1924backed Nationals | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 65c | 1,941$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…c621backed Nationals | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…8b69backed Nationals | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 35c | 1,687$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.52 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Nationals | 35c | 1,580$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.2 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 26c | 1,235$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Cubs | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Cubs | 66c | 1,098$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.48 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…8696backed Cubs | 67c | 975$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 6c | 966.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 934.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…f027backed Cubs | 67c | 925$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Cubs | 67c | 925$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 66c | 922$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Cubs | 67c | 875$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nationals | 34c | 850$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Cubs | 67c | 806$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cubs | 77c | 798.56$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 24c | 785.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Cubs | 66c | 758.55$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 66c | 699$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.66 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 34c | 698.32$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 66c | 649.98$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Cubs | 67c | 648.58$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Nationals | 34c | 647.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Nationals | 34c | 617.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Cubs | 67c | 617.42$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cubs | 67c | 607.46$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Nationals | 7c | 600.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 5c | 563.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 68c | 529.04$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nationals | 6c | 510.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 66c | 500.49$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Cubs | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cubs | 70c | 499.75$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 68c | 471.79$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cubs | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 67c | 385$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Cubs | 66c | 363.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 3c | 360.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nationals | 35c | 337.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 6c | 334$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 26c | 313.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cubs | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…483cbacked Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Cubs | 67c | 294.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…3e2dbacked Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 66c | 265.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cubs | 66c | 249.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Nationals | 33c | 242$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…4e23backed Cubs | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Nationals | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Cubs | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Cubsthis page
- Nationals vs. Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.