MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d0fbe2592df368f943be67e77f7b4abc3da55e782e1b340dd1b9b214229374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed Marlins | 51c | 43,060$21,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,805.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 50c | 38,533$19,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,266.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 50c | 27,463$13,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,731.27 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 49c | 14,462$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375.46 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 53c | 13,090$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,211.9 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 50c | 6,710$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.71 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 3c | 6,012$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Astros | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…13f0backed Astros | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 50c | 5,463$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.54 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…f9d9backed Astros | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Astros | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Marlins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Marlins | 50c | 4,546$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…ce3abacked Astros | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Marlins | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…905ebacked Marlins | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…de24backed Marlins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Astros | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 21c | 3,344$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.08 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 25c | 3,282$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…568abacked Marlins | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…4576backed Marlins | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Astros | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 50c | 2,445$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 50c | 2,365$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 51c | 2,245$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.1 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Astros | 68c | 2,221$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.87 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 72c | 2,061$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.51 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Marlins | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Marlins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…c66abacked Marlins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Marlins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.9 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Astros | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.03 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…c8ecbacked Astros | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 50c | 1,446$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins | 50c | 1,335$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.28 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…0ba4backed Astros | 51c | 1,333$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 50c | 1,221$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4628backed Marlins | 49c | 1,218$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Marlins | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…f910backed Marlins | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 70c | 1,164$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.44 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…eb60backed Marlins | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…b767backed Astros | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…a7debacked Astros | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…8b2fbacked Astros | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…7660backed Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Astros | 51c | 989$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Astros | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Astros | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…9655backed Astros | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Astros | 51c | 970.39$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.49 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Astros | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Astros | 50c | 899.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…5c9bbacked Astros | 51c | 831$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 67c | 821.96$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Astros | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 6c | 725.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Marlins | 19c | 718.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…2d70backed Marlins | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 20c | 613.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…689fbacked Marlins | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…50d3backed Marlins | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Marlins | 50c | 593.54$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.77 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…aec4backed Astros | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…9bcebacked Astros | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d0…2cc2backed Marlins | 49c | 570$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Marlins | 5c | 537.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Astros | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Astros | 51c | 482.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 64c | 475$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marlins | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Marlins | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 70c | 418.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 50c | 415.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Astros | 52c | 403.12$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 5c | 400.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…5d6bbacked Astros | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Marlins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…97babacked Marlins | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 51c | 396.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0e7fbacked Astros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.