MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452d7a4e725eb1d759a52d60a3744ccddb8a256a6adf651f67479adcc0b05221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Cardinals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 49c | 317,544$155,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,146.61 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 51c | 82,800$42,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,572 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 52c | 76,459$39,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,035.14 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 51c | 38,213$19,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,724.35 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Marlins | 51c | 36,187$18,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,649.24 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 49c | 25,434$12,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,430.58 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 51c | 21,000$10,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,290 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 52c | 17,068$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 49c | 14,500$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.01 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 55c | 10,559$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.78 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 51c | 9,570$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.3 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Cardinals | 50c | 8,244$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Marlins | 51c | 7,539$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.22 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Marlins | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 52c | 6,111$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Marlins | 51c | 6,030$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.7 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Marlins | 51c | 5,593$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.57 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 5,447$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.54 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 58c | 5,021$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.15 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 11c | 4,946$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.04 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Marlins | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 24c | 3,837$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.88 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 51c | 3,431$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.37 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Marlins | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.94 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Marlins | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 50c | 3,175$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.5 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed Cardinals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Marlins | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 15c | 2,389$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 57c | 2,053$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Marlins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…aa49backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 62c | 1,732$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Marlins | 53c | 1,515$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.28 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,495$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.77 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,430$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.63 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 52c | 1,372$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.36 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Marlins | 53c | 1,140$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 18c | 1,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.97 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Marlins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cardinals | 14c | 997.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Marlins | 54c | 985.28$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Marlins | 52c | 946.06$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Cardinals | 49c | 939.16$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cardinals | 36c | 879.1$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Cardinals | 20c | 676.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 639.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…bd68backed Cardinals | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Marlins | 53c | 624.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 48c | 616.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…f665backed Cardinals | 48c | 599.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cardinals | 48c | 596.12$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…fe56backed Cardinals | 48c | 580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 572.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 15c | 543.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins | 52c | 492.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cardinals | 48c | 483$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…0bb1backed Marlins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Marlins | 52c | 467.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 60c | 455.72$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Marlins | 55c | 442.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 52c | 402.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cardinals | 15c | 366.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 23c | 363$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 26c | 360.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…eaecbacked Marlins | 53c | 355$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 47c | 349.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Cardinals | 27c | 331.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Marlins | 51c | 317.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Cardinals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cardinals | 17c | 298.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Marlins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Marlins | 52c | 289.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cardinals | 50c | 288$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…c78bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 280.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Cardinals | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.