TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Astros, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros55c8,725$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.391,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Rangers45c5,017$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.354854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Astros55c4,001$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.542445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers45c3,952$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros55c2,943$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.852,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers45c2,794$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.7521740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros57c2,699$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.3223060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Astros55c2,573$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.941,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Astros45c2,308$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Astros55c2,212$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2175658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rangers46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9111554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers49c1,719$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.862,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Rangers53c1,687$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.174436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rangers46c1,271$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.3457744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rangers52c1,142$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.6521847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Rangers45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.119354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Astros53c1,075$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.814341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros56c1,001$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.5663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Rangers44c999.96$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9832651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers46c869$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.261,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers43c653.09$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers46c588.5$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Astros59c567.46$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.266747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers45c532.42$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers45c431.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.591,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Astros38c407.87$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.999645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Astros56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers55c333.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Astros54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.41,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers44c253.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac3…730ebacked Astros55c250.91$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers47c249.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.512152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers47c231.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.486,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers45c219.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3926055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Rangers45c217$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3524346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Astros42c210$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Astros55c187.27$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros39c185.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.964,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Astros54c184.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Astros36c169$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8418446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers51c167.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Astros49c167.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9230740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Rangers46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0440144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Astros35c146$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Rangers45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3314146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers44c113$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.281,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Astros55c104.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5910255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Astros55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5529145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers50c99.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1451…2915backed Astros56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Rangers62c60.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.983545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5347…36a5backed Astros57c57.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Astros54c57.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1766250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb07…3245backed Astros56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b7…8a76backed Astros56c51.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers45c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.051,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Rangers44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rangers44c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1181…509abacked Rangers46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4817146.2%79 W · 92 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Rangers46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.489248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…3c50backed Astros57c42.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242035%7 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb31…a22fbacked Astros56c41.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Astros56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47245.8%33 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Astros55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82f0…b2bebacked Astros56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88c…2f53backed Rangers45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2525857%147 W · 111 L+14.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6360…c981backed Rangers44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.625255.6%140 W · 112 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b98…1b3cbacked Astros56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Rangers45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.534257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Rangers45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf1f…8f72backed Rangers46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Astros54c27.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked Astros57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Rangers48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b6…b248backed Rangers45c24.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Astros54c23.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e8…d95dbacked Astros57c22.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8c…e0b0backed Astros56c21.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f43…0508backed Astros56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa6…7721backed Astros56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa49…5ed2backed Astros56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a07…cff6backed Astros57c21.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70d9…26ebbacked Astros55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb9…6290backed Astros56c19.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6435…9fffbacked Astros57c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.