TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06b6…b248

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.44
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$2.87
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.24
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.89
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.98
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.7
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$50.75
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.91
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.65
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+194.1%+$21.35
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.03
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$15.33
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$12.53
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.9
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.17
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$22.3
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.48
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$13.57
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$10.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.03
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.87
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.37
Idaho Vandals vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.6
Butler Bulldogs vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.98
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.41
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.45
Columbia Lions vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.63
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.62
Warren Wilson Owls vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Warren Wilson Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.9
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$27.36
Sharks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.81
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$19.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.