Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia Lions vs. Stony Brook Seawolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6657a8755157f15762e515afe0bba9c537242eaa634d2a1b08ac3babe9774e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stony Brook Seawolvesof Columbia Lions, Stony Brook Seawolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Columbia Lions | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 55c | 4,416$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.2 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 3,117$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.03 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 55c | 2,309$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Columbia Lions | 59c | 1,731$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 59c | 1,103$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Columbia Lions | 66c | 982$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 72c | 935$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Columbia Lions | 30c | 753.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Columbia Lions | 61c | 608$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Columbia Lions | 64c | 472.6$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Columbia Lions | 65c | 467.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.07 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 466.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 458.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Columbia Lions | 62c | 378.35$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 75c | 346.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Columbia Lions | 17c | 262.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 62c | 257.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 232.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Columbia Lions | 22c | 170$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Columbia Lions | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 71c | 102.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Columbia Lions | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Columbia Lions | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Columbia Lions | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Columbia Lions | 61c | 60.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 80c | 58.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Columbia Lions | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 67c | 51.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Columbia Lions | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3aa8backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 73c | 40.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Columbia Lions | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Columbia Lions | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 74c | 30.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Columbia Lions | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Columbia Lions | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Columbia Lions | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Columbia Lions | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…b248backed Columbia Lions | 66c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Columbia Lions | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Columbia Lions | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Columbia Lions | 64c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Columbia Lions | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Columbia Lions | 62c | 16.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Columbia Lions | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.