NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469ed672eb7e73d5f3eff7e432e36b75a1a7dbd5eaa75ea777e93158d798089f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $952,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $967,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 873 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 37c | 120,000$44,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,399.9 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Heat | 36c | 83,755$29,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,755.07 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 61c | 83,508$51,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,177.31 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Raptors | 35c | 48,726$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,726.27 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 34c | 48,091$16,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,739.93 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raptors | 50c | 42,494$21,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,387.22 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 70c | 30,572$21,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 30c | 28,279$8,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Raptors | 35c | 24,247$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,760.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 65c | 23,912$15,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,471.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 35c | 18,250$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,927.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 68c | 17,528$11,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 73c | 16,701$12,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 42c | 16,656$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Heat | 65c | 16,637$10,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,814.16 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 66c | 14,303$9,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,379.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 35c | 14,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 59c | 12,698$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.59 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 58c | 11,787$6,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Heat | 48c | 10,562$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.51 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 35c | 10,010$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,506.48 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Heat | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…e676backed Raptors | 33c | 9,921$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 66c | 9,344$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.62 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Heat | 66c | 9,091$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…1387backed Heat | 66c | 6,282$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…3178backed Heat | 65c | 6,100$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Heat | 66c | 5,562$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Raptors | 35c | 5,015$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.75 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Raptors | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Heat | 64c | 4,300$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Raptors | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.71 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…8693backed Raptors | 35c | 4,200$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Raptors | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…e0aebacked Heat | 65c | 3,843$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e0…201dbacked Heat | 66c | 3,361$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…73a1backed Raptors | 34c | 3,355$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 34c | 3,310$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.85 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…a619backed Heat | 67c | 3,300$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 13c | 3,300$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.99 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raptors | 34c | 3,192$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.13 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Heat | 67c | 3,150$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Raptors | 34c | 3,150$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 3,120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Raptors | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.9 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 33c | 2,912$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.65 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Heat | 66c | 2,880$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.8 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 66c | 2,871$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors | 51c | 2,847$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.38 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…7a64backed Raptors | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Raptors | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 60c | 2,488$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.58 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 2c | 2,287$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…da2bbacked Raptors | 34c | 2,100$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ef51backed Heat | 66c | 2,099$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.34 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Heat | 66c | 2,050$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Heat | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Heat | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 66c | 2,000$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 76c | 1,909$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.51 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f491backed Raptors | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Raptors | 34c | 1,888$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.24 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…d097backed Heat | 46c | 1,686$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Raptors | 57c | 1,562$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.55 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 67c | 1,543$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Heat | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Raptors | 35c | 1,515$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed Heat | 47c | 1,455$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Raptors | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Heat | 66c | 1,367$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…3459backed Heat | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…f4eabacked Raptors | 34c | 1,329$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Raptors | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -10.6wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,250$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 33c | 1,198$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.44 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Heat | 66c | 1,133$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.95 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 77c | 1,130$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…0cc7backed Raptors | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…08adbacked Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2729backed Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…3fccbacked Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…5150backed Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…f723backed Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…d1f8backed Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…331abacked Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…4713backed Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2765backed Heat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…ba5abacked Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…3863backed Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…8104backed Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.