MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c9f39213e72b302bb91b1f3c79a07cd1a253f56f3937de0c35a8aa84b29abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Pirates, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,499,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,502,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,499,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,253,257$463,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463,649.95 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 63c | 614,108$387,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,712.95 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 63c | 400,280$252,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,100.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Pirates | 36c | 140,000$50,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,800 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Braves | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 63c | 85,069$53,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,075.46 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 63c | 53,000$33,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,610 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Braves | 64c | 41,000$26,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,870 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Braves | 63c | 27,100$17,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,027 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Braves | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Braves | 64c | 18,000$11,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 77c | 17,182$13,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Pirates | 27c | 11,926$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.07 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 37c | 10,405$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 67c | 10,190$6,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.68 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Pirates | 36c | 10,111$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.96 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Pirates | 17c | 8,988$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 64c | 6,795$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Braves | 64c | 5,832$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.37 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 28c | 5,184$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Braves | 63c | 4,634$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.66 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 68c | 4,524$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 63c | 4,088$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Braves | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Braves | 70c | 2,002$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 63c | 1,993$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 64c | 1,805$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Pirates | 36c | 1,701$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Braves | 64c | 1,231$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Pirates | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 64c | 985.28$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.7 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 63c | 971$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 36c | 838.42$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 37c | 693$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 50c | 674.33$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.64 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pirates | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 16c | 569.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 36c | 555$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 40c | 345$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 63c | 343$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 64c | 318$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Pirates | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Braves | 34c | 221.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 73c | 219.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Pirates | 16c | 215$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pirates | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Braves | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Braves | 65c | 153.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…699ebacked Pirates | 36c | 152.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Braves | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…25e3backed Pirates | 37c | 122.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 26c | 117.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Braves | 64c | 102.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…e0edbacked Pirates | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Pirates | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Braves | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Braves | 74c | 95.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Braves | 66c | 86.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Braves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Braves | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Pirates | 31c | 68.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Braves | 62c | 62.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Braves | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Pirates | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Braves | 65c | 52.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Pirates | 37c | 50.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…a93dbacked Braves | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…081bbacked Pirates | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Pirates | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…b248backed Pirates | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Pirates | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Braves | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Braves | 63c | 39.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Braves | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Pirates | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Pirates | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Braves | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…c8c3backed Braves | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed Braves | 65c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked Braves | 65c | 15.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Bravesthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.