Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8851f60826e5d607efb1e07a1951d1986b9553bab518a96e4edb57e27abbd308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Moutet, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Musetti | 65c | 6,443$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.31 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Moutet | 13c | 3,539$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.98 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Moutet | 35c | 2,850$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.48 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 77c | 2,769$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.91 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Moutet | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Moutet | 1c | 2,347$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Moutet | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Moutet | 21c | 1,897$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.12 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6dfbbacked Musetti | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Moutet | 20c | 1,483$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…27bdbacked Moutet | 15c | 1,349$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Moutet | 32c | 1,189$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.39 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Musetti | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Moutet | 28c | 942.34$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.54 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Moutet | 35c | 920$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Musetti | 79c | 820.59$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Musetti | 73c | 800$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Moutet | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Musetti | 64c | 685.44$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Moutet | 21c | 633.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Musetti | 68c | 601.53$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…1d52backed Moutet | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Moutet | 35c | 542.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Moutet | 15c | 530.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Moutet | 33c | 518.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Musetti | 67c | 518.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…180bbacked Moutet | 35c | 500.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Moutet | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…2289backed Moutet | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -81%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Moutet | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Musetti | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Moutet | 21c | 288.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Musetti | 65c | 287.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Moutet | 29c | 287.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…a1e6backed Moutet | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Moutet | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…e956backed Musetti | 66c | 284.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Moutet | 18c | 265.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…0d49backed Moutet | 4c | 259.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed Moutet | 35c | 221.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Moutet | 14c | 210.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Musetti | 67c | 202.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Musetti | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Moutet | 34c | 177.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Musetti | 67c | 165$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Moutet | 15c | 159$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Musetti | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Moutet | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Musetti | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Musetti | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…fc42backed Moutet | 22c | 108.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Moutet | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Musetti | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Moutet | 31c | 99.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Moutet | 11c | 96.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Moutet | 17c | 95.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…d658backed Musetti | 67c | 80.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Moutet | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…d1bebacked Moutet | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Musetti | 66c | 60.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Moutet | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Musetti | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed Musetti | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Musetti | 79c | 50.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Moutet | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Moutet | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Moutet | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Moutet | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…18b0backed Musetti | 67c | 47.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Moutet | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…94efbacked Moutet | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…3079backed Moutet | 33c | 43.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…b248backed Musetti | 67c | 43.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…5295backed Moutet | 35c | 42.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Moutet | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Musetti | 63c | 38.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Musetti | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Moutet | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Musetti | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Moutet | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Musetti | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…01ecbacked Moutet | 34c | 29.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Musetti | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…3ee3backed Musetti | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Musetti | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Musetti | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…1ea7backed Musetti | 79c | 21.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed Musetti | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…22d7backed Musetti | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Musetti | 77c | 18.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.