Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3138f4cb4d55d834d4805b348f9a669c71ec27dbbfe355824fab5946f6e3e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Texas Southern Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Southern Tigers | 43c | 2,398$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 52c | 2,290$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 54c | 1,590$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.63 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Texas Southern Tigers | 49c | 1,161$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.67 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas Southern Tigers | 21c | 665.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Texas Southern Tigers | 44c | 459.07$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 52c | 418.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Texas Southern Tigers | 6c | 268.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 52c | 250.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 51c | 174.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Texas Southern Tigers | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…b586backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 80c | 62.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 43c | 62.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 55c | 56.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Southern Tigers | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 32c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…b248backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 49c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Texas Southern Tigers | 51c | 23.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Southern Tigers | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigersthis page
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.