MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340bfd0659380b1e5642a89f3c4a670ff37691da0d9583fa96ff0c8378a55fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 18c | 16,529$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 71c | 11,231$7,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed White Sox | 38c | 9,992$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.06 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 19c | 4,541$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 19c | 3,975$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.93 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 61c | 2,582$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 61c | 2,385$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 66c | 1,841$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed White Sox | 39c | 1,554$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed White Sox | 38c | 1,529$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.19 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 80c | 1,333$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Padres | 69c | 1,111$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.98 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Padres | 61c | 926.85$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.47 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed White Sox | 39c | 810.26$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Padres | 62c | 799.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 39c | 799.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 39c | 769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Padres | 62c | 757.56$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 67c | 531.4$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Padres | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 79c | 496.78$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 38c | 486$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Padres | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 13c | 392.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed White Sox | 38c | 344.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Padres | 77c | 301.78$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Padres | 72c | 281.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 39c | 276.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 15c | 267.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 12c | 265.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed White Sox | 33c | 254.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…1e3dbacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Padres | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Padres | 77c | 137.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…2462backed White Sox | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Padres | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 62c | 123$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 62c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 15c | 102.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fed…00d1backed Padres | 62c | 101.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed White Sox | 14c | 100.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 79c | 96.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Padres | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Padres | 61c | 70.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Padres | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…ba93backed Padres | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Padres | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Padres | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked White Sox | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Padres | 63c | 50.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked White Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Padres | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 65c | 44.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Padres | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Padres | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked Padres | 73c | 30.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…2734backed Padres | 62c | 28.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 60c | 26.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…02f3backed White Sox | 39c | 26.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Padres | 65c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…1be4backed Padres | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…f0c4backed Padres | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…01ecbacked Padres | 62c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e655backed Padres | 63c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…b248backed Padres | 62c | 16.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.