TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Rangers, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers1c45,650$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.081,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers36c12,631$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.291,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks53c10,391$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,883.8655053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers47c10,265$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.7814648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Rangers47c10,094$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,74419649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Diamondbacks53c8,292$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.057659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rangers46c5,339$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.8323752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks53c5,133$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.212,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks54c3,117$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Rangers47c2,859$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.559645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21a…b6e3backed Diamondbacks79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.71666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks54c2,449$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.4978445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rangers35c2,013$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70312248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc445…d246backed Rangers49c1,820$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Rangers25c1,512$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.611643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers46c1,450$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66716349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks53c1,300$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Diamondbacks54c1,261$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.049842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed Diamondbacks55c1,094$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fe…a7e0backed Rangers45c1,085$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c66cbacked Rangers45c1,065$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f23…babebacked Diamondbacks55c1,056$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers46c1,015$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.641,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Rangers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks55c997.34$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.81,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers21c990.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.824,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b63…d2cfbacked Diamondbacks55c929.64$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Diamondbacks54c920.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.983863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Rangers47c865$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.5526355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks54c824$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Rangers47c821.4$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0612949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Rangers46c776.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.412050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers43c732$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rangers15c731.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5415033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers47c657.06$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba1…410cbacked Rangers15c656.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Rangers46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers46c652$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.921,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Rangers47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Diamondbacks73c623.72$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.028530.6%26 W · 59 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e6…c6f9backed Diamondbacks57c617$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Rangers34c602.21$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2068940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Rangers46c546$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1614949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Rangers20c538.66$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093959%23 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f8…3a79backed Rangers23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks68c518.64$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.092,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Rangers18c495$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.122047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers23c487.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.419,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rangers20c475.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5133137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers27c449.98$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.891,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Rangers22c444.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks73c408.38$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Rangers22c393.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5743153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3728447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Diamondbacks79c366.82$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Diamondbacks54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16135245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5184…df62backed Diamondbacks54c319.17$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…9a96backed Rangers47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks56c299.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9940152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers46c255$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409b…d3dabacked Rangers46c252.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Diamondbacks55c249.55$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.324253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers7c230$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Rangers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks55c214.55$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Rangers41c209.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0918446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x870b…2181backed Rangers47c209.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd64b…483cbacked Diamondbacks54c209.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks53c202.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x245f…b6d7backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…e142backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac5…3536backed Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905060%30 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e2…5daebacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5b…02fabacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d07…3068backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8f…963ebacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x093b…e84cbacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cca…6c96backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed1…d738backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a6…835abacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…55e1backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8981…f8bdbacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Diamondbacks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.